{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20260929:D5","lead":5,"line":73,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-24T07:00:00+00:00","name":"Denver, CO","normal_hash":"75d302cd67bfc18a4903aef735695a9d3a18f736e2fe8f091d7ab7e03662e9a0","opponents":[["aifs","hres"],["icon","wn2"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KDEN-20260929-TMAX-GE73","region":"rockies","station":"KDEN","target_date":"20260929","tz":"America/Denver","void_at":"2026-10-07T07:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-30T07:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-29T07:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-24T01:35:56+00:00","digest":"c5f219270677cb470812500c7d5b1c56bd6f9d4b97a4da15c8c6eed15de36379","init_at":"2026-09-23T18:00:00+00:00","mean":63.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.0422,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-24T01:35:56+00:00","sd":5.33},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-23T14:56:30+00:00","digest":"8d078a3d901955eb5a74facd9e09edcc4bb31bafe40def6614efb912bc1f49db","init_at":"2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00","mean":76.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.689,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-23T14:56:30+00:00","sd":7.3},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-23T19:21:18+00:00","digest":"aeef38256b905b9817fd941850cba0b53a3bc6ea1ed3aed7eee4887ee307cdf4","init_at":"2026-09-23T12:00:00+00:00","mean":59.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.022,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-23T19:21:17+00:00","sd":6.65},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-24T04:27:51+00:00","digest":"58305149afbc5b8cee18bf1b530691e322d3dfed63b2a160b17cb727d8825cc1","init_at":"2026-09-24T00:00:00+00:00","mean":67.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.1784,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-24T04:27:51+00:00","sd":5.86},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-24T04:59:01+00:00","digest":"5e9387c6ca9d241916b1ca599f5ce05acf6882d6040aad93934ce3bb41a4ec65","init_at":"2026-09-23T18:00:00+00:00","mean":70.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.2905,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-24T04:59:01+00:00","sd":4.53}},"fixtures":[{"gap_bp":202,"models":["aifs","hres"],"status":"no_edge"},{"models":["icon","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20260929:D5:icon-wn2","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260929","element_station":"KDEN","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00","fingerprint":"3244144e053c9420acade24e16abfdd4c3691a2d98923580ea73557bdddebf05","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"76206dd41cdbe3790cdd448d6b92b631033e1b8042ad05b38272c5a390a292ce","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KDEN","station_ids":["03017 1","052211 2","72565 4","DEN 3","DEN 7","KDEN 5","USW00003017 32","USW00003017 6"],"station_name":"DENVER INTL AP","value":71,"seen_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260929","element_station":"KDEN","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00","fingerprint":"3244144e053c9420acade24e16abfdd4c3691a2d98923580ea73557bdddebf05","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"76206dd41cdbe3790cdd448d6b92b631033e1b8042ad05b38272c5a390a292ce","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KDEN","station_ids":["03017 1","052211 2","72565 4","DEN 3","DEN 7","KDEN 5","USW00003017 32","USW00003017 6"],"station_name":"DENVER INTL AP","value":71,"seen_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260929","element_station":"KDEN","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00","fingerprint":"3244144e053c9420acade24e16abfdd4c3691a2d98923580ea73557bdddebf05","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"76206dd41cdbe3790cdd448d6b92b631033e1b8042ad05b38272c5a390a292ce","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KDEN","station_ids":["03017 1","052211 2","72565 4","DEN 3","DEN 7","KDEN 5","USW00003017 32","USW00003017 6"],"station_name":"DENVER INTL AP","value":71,"seen_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":29966160,"hres":18234790,"icon":22993537,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-24T07:03:42+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-03T07:19:31+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20260929:D5","gap_bp":1121,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20260929:D5:icon-wn2","no":"icon","no_collateral":22966500,"no_digest":"58305149afbc5b8cee18bf1b530691e322d3dfed63b2a160b17cb727d8825cc1","quantity":30,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":7033500,"yes_digest":"5e9387c6ca9d241916b1ca599f5ce05acf6882d6040aad93934ce3bb41a4ec65","yes_price":234450,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-24T07:03:42+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-03T07:19:31+00:00","yes_pnl":-7033500,"no_pnl":7033500}]}