{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261003:D3","lead":3,"line":71,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-30T07:00:00+00:00","name":"Denver, CO","normal_hash":"61ac0bdd09f5a5e5bf9b8892b9ab0149932923b0987da7407534c765d24307f6","opponents":[["aifs","wn2"],["hres","eps"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KDEN-20261003-TMAX-GE71","region":"rockies","station":"KDEN","target_date":"20261003","tz":"America/Denver","void_at":"2026-10-11T07:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-04T07:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-10-03T07:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-30T01:32:21+00:00","digest":"aea59f0b9fd7651ce1c8d2cf93998f9183406a52bc267063988680eae321eb6f","init_at":"2026-09-29T18:00:00+00:00","mean":81.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9883,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-30T01:32:20+00:00","sd":4.63},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T15:19:17+00:00","digest":"55962587464624b83f35b0a32590ff417a09c5cd472d7b9e64c0c41dcc181eb6","init_at":"2026-09-29T00:00:00+00:00","mean":78.5,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9117,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-29T15:19:17+00:00","sd":5.92},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T19:25:08+00:00","digest":"5296169245ce1cbe120bcdb8cfc7e2b9f33fa335d36d0259e0cea061aec0ae21","init_at":"2026-09-29T12:00:00+00:00","mean":84.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9977,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-29T19:25:07+00:00","sd":5.02},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-30T04:26:49+00:00","digest":"fd6062af4edf76afa99edbc20f49a70747e2044cbfcbfcf3abee38bd938373e2","init_at":"2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00","mean":74.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.8704,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-30T04:26:49+00:00","sd":3.9},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-30T04:58:47+00:00","digest":"af2499f4cbe0fe5ba1171e8544edcd285e677bca42e249d802b32614beb19e15","init_at":"2026-09-29T18:00:00+00:00","mean":80.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9919,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-30T04:58:47+00:00","sd":3.95}},"fixtures":[{"gap_bp":36,"models":["aifs","wn2"],"status":"no_edge"},{"models":["hres","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261003:D3:eps-hres","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261003","element_station":"KDEN","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T09:45:36+00:00","fingerprint":"2b61f4353c6287be4a25c1abdab6b16da314e3fe552bcdfd14fcc39b30497336","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"10d75d138261cd372685d42ac15217e9a3d7a2d42b63ba9a3164e56ac4875757","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KDEN","station_ids":["03017 1","052211 2","72565 4","DEN 3","DEN 7","KDEN 5","USW00003017 32","USW00003017 6"],"station_name":"DENVER INTL AP","value":83,"seen_at":"2026-10-04T09:45:36+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20261003","element_station":"KDEN","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T09:45:36+00:00","fingerprint":"2b61f4353c6287be4a25c1abdab6b16da314e3fe552bcdfd14fcc39b30497336","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"10d75d138261cd372685d42ac15217e9a3d7a2d42b63ba9a3164e56ac4875757","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KDEN","station_ids":["03017 1","052211 2","72565 4","DEN 3","DEN 7","KDEN 5","USW00003017 32","USW00003017 6"],"station_name":"DENVER INTL AP","value":83,"seen_at":"2026-10-04T09:45:36+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261003","element_station":"KDEN","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T09:45:36+00:00","fingerprint":"2b61f4353c6287be4a25c1abdab6b16da314e3fe552bcdfd14fcc39b30497336","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"10d75d138261cd372685d42ac15217e9a3d7a2d42b63ba9a3164e56ac4875757","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KDEN","station_ids":["03017 1","052211 2","72565 4","DEN 3","DEN 7","KDEN 5","USW00003017 32","USW00003017 6"],"station_name":"DENVER INTL AP","value":83,"seen_at":"2026-10-04T09:45:36+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":28871420,"eps":25566610,"hres":33333333,"wn2":20769100},"locked_at":"2026-09-30T07:00:53+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-07T07:33:43+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261003:D3","gap_bp":860,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261003:D3:eps-hres","no":"eps","no_collateral":1132500,"no_digest":"55962587464624b83f35b0a32590ff417a09c5cd472d7b9e64c0c41dcc181eb6","quantity":25,"yes":"hres","yes_collateral":23867500,"yes_digest":"5296169245ce1cbe120bcdb8cfc7e2b9f33fa335d36d0259e0cea061aec0ae21","yes_price":954700,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-30T07:00:53+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-07T07:33:43+00:00","yes_pnl":1132500,"no_pnl":-1132500}]}