{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261004:D5","lead":5,"line":71,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-29T07:00:00+00:00","name":"Denver, CO","normal_hash":"9bdc7d9296009155b4c88b82b909423d739c0a8dfa5c3cc5b7f533c8900a0e86","opponents":[["aifs","hres"],["icon","wn2"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KDEN-20261004-TMAX-GE71","region":"rockies","station":"KDEN","target_date":"20261004","tz":"America/Denver","void_at":"2026-10-12T07:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-05T07:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-10-04T07:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T02:05:55+00:00","digest":"b3a23ed6b8555943a6c27621fe304b9eddb90552fd7fa8d42d48ede3c396c593","init_at":"2026-09-28T18:00:00+00:00","mean":72.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.654,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-29T01:55:27+00:00","sd":5.31},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-28T15:34:05+00:00","digest":"cb75e8290a63a64fa5adc9c8794274f6e671b40e313009a42de791c52a44c857","init_at":"2026-09-28T00:00:00+00:00","mean":75.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.704,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-28T15:29:04+00:00","sd":8.97},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-28T20:04:46+00:00","digest":"076972d7b6b6a6126f29499a0d5396242d49a4e96159940ca7af1cc0a6f55cc1","init_at":"2026-09-28T12:00:00+00:00","mean":79.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.92,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-28T19:55:04+00:00","sd":6.63},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T04:33:24+00:00","digest":"96ed0a783dd6c700ace8cb26ea61146593a6106bbcd0a8e58528fa4754f75289","init_at":"2026-09-29T00:00:00+00:00","mean":80.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9542,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-29T04:33:23+00:00","sd":5.81},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T05:05:27+00:00","digest":"bec5c8f838d4d49c5b861186920ff265236a72baadffa5bd56f1ca3e22911169","init_at":"2026-09-28T18:00:00+00:00","mean":75.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.8785,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-29T05:05:26+00:00","sd":4.54}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","hres"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261004:D5:aifs-hres","status":"matched"},{"models":["icon","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261004:D5:icon-wn2","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KDEN","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:39+00:00","fingerprint":"bd6997c7f89991983ea8d7f5aa9b04fdb37d1c542f2b3880fa95fa6e6ffbb059","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"0190e4dbde7817fab35f37af99b559df5812246ecfae3452453887b0c8422ab4","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KDEN","station_ids":["03017 1","052211 2","72565 4","DEN 3","DEN 7","KDEN 5","USW00003017 32","USW00003017 6"],"station_name":"DENVER INTL AP","value":81,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:41+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KDEN","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:39+00:00","fingerprint":"bd6997c7f89991983ea8d7f5aa9b04fdb37d1c542f2b3880fa95fa6e6ffbb059","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"0190e4dbde7817fab35f37af99b559df5812246ecfae3452453887b0c8422ab4","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KDEN","station_ids":["03017 1","052211 2","72565 4","DEN 3","DEN 7","KDEN 5","USW00003017 32","USW00003017 6"],"station_name":"DENVER INTL AP","value":81,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:41+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KDEN","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:39+00:00","fingerprint":"bd6997c7f89991983ea8d7f5aa9b04fdb37d1c542f2b3880fa95fa6e6ffbb059","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"0190e4dbde7817fab35f37af99b559df5812246ecfae3452453887b0c8422ab4","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KDEN","station_ids":["03017 1","052211 2","72565 4","DEN 3","DEN 7","KDEN 5","USW00003017 32","USW00003017 6"],"station_name":"DENVER INTL AP","value":81,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:41+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":29290110,"hres":33333333,"icon":29469950,"wn2":14674860},"locked_at":"2026-09-29T07:00:40+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T07:47:06+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261004:D5","gap_bp":2660,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261004:D5:aifs-hres","no":"aifs","no_collateral":8946000,"no_digest":"b3a23ed6b8555943a6c27621fe304b9eddb90552fd7fa8d42d48ede3c396c593","quantity":42,"yes":"hres","yes_collateral":33054000,"yes_digest":"076972d7b6b6a6126f29499a0d5396242d49a4e96159940ca7af1cc0a6f55cc1","yes_price":787000,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-29T07:00:40+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T07:47:06+00:00","yes_pnl":8946000,"no_pnl":-8946000},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261004:D5","gap_bp":757,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KDEN:20261004:D5:icon-wn2","no":"wn2","no_collateral":2091250,"no_digest":"bec5c8f838d4d49c5b861186920ff265236a72baadffa5bd56f1ca3e22911169","quantity":25,"yes":"icon","yes_collateral":22908750,"yes_digest":"96ed0a783dd6c700ace8cb26ea61146593a6106bbcd0a8e58528fa4754f75289","yes_price":916350,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-29T07:00:40+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T07:47:06+00:00","yes_pnl":2091250,"no_pnl":-2091250}]}