{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260915:D5","lead":5,"line":90,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-10T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Houston, TX","normal_hash":"7787ade4f935a8132758c00ae39fedf3b959e6e8b19fe065c0c86b82b21a895f","opponents":[["aifs","eps"],["hres","icon"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KIAH-20260915-TMAX-GE90","region":"plains","station":"KIAH","target_date":"20260915","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-09-23T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-16T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-15T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-10T01:39:57+00:00","digest":"20fd5fb335549a45d29fe9a0bcb6c5304465fe6fd17678ab7c8c75db8777526f","init_at":"2026-09-09T18:00:00+00:00","mean":95.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.872,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-10T01:29:07+00:00","sd":5.37},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-10T02:25:03+00:00","digest":"a4f9d0a8e0c9787d055e7682cca0d0bf84c002d8a9f84c6f94d93c4af919594b","init_at":"2026-09-09T12:00:00+00:00","mean":92.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.893,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-10T02:15:00+00:00","sd":2.5},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-09T19:39:09+00:00","digest":"7a04d691d66afa8836c26e40183b01c3670ea4a07fdc775ab05893a074755564","init_at":"2026-09-09T12:00:00+00:00","mean":94.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.765,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-09T19:36:33+00:00","sd":6.65},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-10T04:40:26+00:00","digest":"61b813d2d3979294b4b9dfdba3ec336ff1bce55128c79255b8e4afa204d8383a","init_at":"2026-09-10T00:00:00+00:00","mean":96.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.902,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-10T04:32:55+00:00","sd":5.73},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-10T05:25:32+00:00","digest":"b3bc17365997d1f6c1723568d41faeb1737354c9772515b8d8f92d479b7bfde5","init_at":"2026-09-09T18:00:00+00:00","mean":94.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.883,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-10T05:18:57+00:00","sd":4.45}},"fixtures":[{"gap_bp":210,"models":["aifs","eps"],"status":"no_edge"},{"models":["hres","icon"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260915:D5:hres-icon","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260915","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T09:26:48+00:00","fingerprint":"17bd026ef9e657a54351c991fb914a7cfdde1330f2b6491619727c5eba8824a3","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"0aacd901e1df9d7691861954a2fe890a4e556f258444a20b15b4130416bf40b9","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":98,"seen_at":"2026-09-16T09:26:50+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260915","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T09:26:48+00:00","fingerprint":"17bd026ef9e657a54351c991fb914a7cfdde1330f2b6491619727c5eba8824a3","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"0aacd901e1df9d7691861954a2fe890a4e556f258444a20b15b4130416bf40b9","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":98,"seen_at":"2026-09-16T09:26:50+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260915","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T09:26:48+00:00","fingerprint":"17bd026ef9e657a54351c991fb914a7cfdde1330f2b6491619727c5eba8824a3","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"0aacd901e1df9d7691861954a2fe890a4e556f258444a20b15b4130416bf40b9","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":98,"seen_at":"2026-09-16T09:26:50+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":33333333,"eps":33333333,"hres":33333333,"icon":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-10T06:04:44+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-19T06:27:30+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260915:D5","gap_bp":1370,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260915:D5:hres-icon","no":"hres","no_collateral":6493500,"no_digest":"7a04d691d66afa8836c26e40183b01c3670ea4a07fdc775ab05893a074755564","quantity":39,"yes":"icon","yes_collateral":32506500,"yes_digest":"61b813d2d3979294b4b9dfdba3ec336ff1bce55128c79255b8e4afa204d8383a","yes_price":833500,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-10T06:04:44+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-19T06:27:30+00:00","yes_pnl":6493500,"no_pnl":-6493500}]}