{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260920:D1","lead":1,"line":89,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-19T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Houston, TX","normal_hash":"f06b09cb5dd022b77c879a13a7ec2c19085d2280b36a4cb0b12f99e9b9dc4b62","opponents":[["aifs","hres"],["icon","wn2"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KIAH-20260920-TMAX-GE89","region":"plains","station":"KIAH","target_date":"20260920","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-09-28T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-21T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-20T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-19T01:33:18+00:00","digest":"b7555e22cd3eb2397fbc6afa92ed0db94eef57615fe89bc60abd49ff5e7d45b4","init_at":"2026-09-18T18:00:00+00:00","mean":95.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9387,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-19T01:33:18+00:00","sd":4.21},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-18T15:15:05+00:00","digest":"613a4c13d478879e0519c238be3d35ac5d5775f34f7cbb08107e20885d7282f6","init_at":"2026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00","mean":95.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9841,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-18T15:15:05+00:00","sd":3.12},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-18T22:28:12+00:00","digest":"2958aba05d208156991f553c3e8e8f5b77aa5fb72d7664f02665e0bc6afabaa8","init_at":"2026-09-18T12:00:00+00:00","mean":93.5,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.8864,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-18T22:28:12+00:00","sd":4.14},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-19T04:23:36+00:00","digest":"19d81b13e0eb39c266bd1157685e4896e784a7f9a40451db5a2ae49182468167","init_at":"2026-09-19T00:00:00+00:00","mean":92.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.8823,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-19T04:23:35+00:00","sd":3.54}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","hres"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260920:D1:aifs-hres","status":"matched"},{"missing":["wn2"],"models":["icon","wn2"],"status":"unavailable"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260920","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-09-21T09:04:17+00:00","fingerprint":"59b4ee6660c9d5ef5d2607ba381287e2f3aaa2812181ae793f3fc0b167eef8a8","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"60e355fb2b4a40818d32b89dde3cb93852dc1b9252b4999054ee482089d0166e","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":97,"seen_at":"2026-09-21T09:04:18+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260920","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-09-21T09:04:17+00:00","fingerprint":"59b4ee6660c9d5ef5d2607ba381287e2f3aaa2812181ae793f3fc0b167eef8a8","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"60e355fb2b4a40818d32b89dde3cb93852dc1b9252b4999054ee482089d0166e","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":97,"seen_at":"2026-09-21T09:04:18+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260920","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-09-21T09:04:17+00:00","fingerprint":"59b4ee6660c9d5ef5d2607ba381287e2f3aaa2812181ae793f3fc0b167eef8a8","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"60e355fb2b4a40818d32b89dde3cb93852dc1b9252b4999054ee482089d0166e","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":97,"seen_at":"2026-09-21T09:04:18+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":24807375,"hres":28285144,"icon":18017680,"wn2":22743772},"locked_at":"2026-09-19T06:01:33+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-24T06:32:57+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260920:D1","gap_bp":523,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260920:D1:aifs-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":2186250,"no_digest":"2958aba05d208156991f553c3e8e8f5b77aa5fb72d7664f02665e0bc6afabaa8","quantity":25,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":22813750,"yes_digest":"b7555e22cd3eb2397fbc6afa92ed0db94eef57615fe89bc60abd49ff5e7d45b4","yes_price":912550,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-19T06:01:33+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-24T06:32:57+00:00","yes_pnl":2186250,"no_pnl":-2186250}]}