{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260925:D5","lead":5,"line":88,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-20T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Houston, TX","normal_hash":"590a2bed26a32e0e601a7462fb2b64d7dee42daef121377aa891455a189a35a9","opponents":[["aifs","eps"],["hres","icon"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KIAH-20260925-TMAX-GE88","region":"plains","station":"KIAH","target_date":"20260925","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-10-03T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-26T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-25T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-20T01:31:50+00:00","digest":"452465f7967c91ce5287f8326a3b95b378bb1684ec834fa56622014885bcd748","init_at":"2026-09-19T18:00:00+00:00","mean":95.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9403,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-20T01:31:50+00:00","sd":5.33},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-19T11:05:35+00:00","digest":"72906ad31f748ea98d646302b4798af0b9fe19df37de0ddbfbe6096787d441ce","init_at":"2026-09-19T00:00:00+00:00","mean":95.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9997,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-19T11:05:35+00:00","sd":2.4},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-19T19:36:05+00:00","digest":"6ff315d9b75a7cf1cb8bde72174b4b40cc5faddd324dcbc0e30db649ae3709f0","init_at":"2026-09-19T12:00:00+00:00","mean":91.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.7465,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-19T19:36:05+00:00","sd":6.63},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-20T04:22:29+00:00","digest":"c5521116a7f742d56588f35a38b4df4a4a439f2deebf7b761d922528476f77cb","init_at":"2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00","mean":91.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.7729,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-20T04:22:29+00:00","sd":5.88}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260925:D5:aifs-eps","status":"matched"},{"gap_bp":264,"models":["hres","icon"],"status":"no_edge"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260925","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T09:29:56+00:00","fingerprint":"2dd705a632882acfc9837a7ddbeb8025148cf4e382404fa594e6260861cecf5f","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"e800e89f3560deeec12a6699be9cdd7742883504e5be0020c9a3694fa5e926cf","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":93,"seen_at":"2026-09-26T09:29:57+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260925","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T09:29:56+00:00","fingerprint":"2dd705a632882acfc9837a7ddbeb8025148cf4e382404fa594e6260861cecf5f","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"e800e89f3560deeec12a6699be9cdd7742883504e5be0020c9a3694fa5e926cf","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":93,"seen_at":"2026-09-26T09:29:57+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260925","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T09:29:56+00:00","fingerprint":"2dd705a632882acfc9837a7ddbeb8025148cf4e382404fa594e6260861cecf5f","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"e800e89f3560deeec12a6699be9cdd7742883504e5be0020c9a3694fa5e926cf","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":93,"seen_at":"2026-09-26T09:29:57+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":32053095,"eps":25301516,"hres":23739230,"icon":27766310},"locked_at":"2026-09-20T06:00:44+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-29T06:24:13+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260925:D5","gap_bp":594,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260925:D5:aifs-eps","no":"aifs","no_collateral":750000,"no_digest":"452465f7967c91ce5287f8326a3b95b378bb1684ec834fa56622014885bcd748","quantity":25,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":24250000,"yes_digest":"72906ad31f748ea98d646302b4798af0b9fe19df37de0ddbfbe6096787d441ce","yes_price":970000,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-20T06:00:44+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-29T06:24:13+00:00","yes_pnl":750000,"no_pnl":-750000}]}