{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260930:D1","lead":1,"line":87,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-29T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Houston, TX","normal_hash":"45c4cdf33039036150787eda1c19a164d9a1890deb122092dfe2d15583fb1417","opponents":[["aifs","hres"],["icon","wn2"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KIAH-20260930-TMAX-GE87","region":"plains","station":"KIAH","target_date":"20260930","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-10-08T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-01T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-30T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T01:23:54+00:00","digest":"62154122edc211c02a90654861a3b5e645d185ab92cb3e62df2ae877ff11ac85","init_at":"2026-09-28T18:00:00+00:00","mean":95.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9815,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-29T01:23:54+00:00","sd":4.17},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-28T11:02:58+00:00","digest":"f9bd0ad1f2cb5f1e8c8910aec1e243144733e9bbe17695674fec995c934a82a2","init_at":"2026-09-28T00:00:00+00:00","mean":93.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9909,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-28T11:02:58+00:00","sd":2.92},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-28T19:23:38+00:00","digest":"79f7aaba60352242f8fee4ea93030949589076e9b331a1fced6af288c929ad60","init_at":"2026-09-28T12:00:00+00:00","mean":91.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.8786,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-28T19:23:38+00:00","sd":4.11},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T04:33:22+00:00","digest":"1a3ae03f5e57ddf4626bb5c30fe7dcc2b06592d5ea8392265e36ec7d270ae4d4","init_at":"2026-09-29T00:00:00+00:00","mean":91.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9263,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-29T04:33:21+00:00","sd":3.52},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T05:05:25+00:00","digest":"618803ee5a07fec384ec9ead5785d9532f1283a41070793428c3d27887954ffb","init_at":"2026-09-28T18:00:00+00:00","mean":95.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9924,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-29T05:05:25+00:00","sd":3.54}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","hres"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260930:D1:aifs-hres","status":"matched"},{"models":["icon","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260930:D1:icon-wn2","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260930","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:03:48+00:00","fingerprint":"590ba8ce2ab70d40aa5e911a20ae40913c9068a1587dff8b210d7393193b3608","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"edd066b9b4df4160900094deabf214d882c5f5f94de64fbd480dc5679a95516b","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":95,"seen_at":"2026-10-01T10:03:49+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260930","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:03:48+00:00","fingerprint":"590ba8ce2ab70d40aa5e911a20ae40913c9068a1587dff8b210d7393193b3608","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"edd066b9b4df4160900094deabf214d882c5f5f94de64fbd480dc5679a95516b","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":95,"seen_at":"2026-10-01T10:03:49+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260930","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:03:48+00:00","fingerprint":"590ba8ce2ab70d40aa5e911a20ae40913c9068a1587dff8b210d7393193b3608","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"edd066b9b4df4160900094deabf214d882c5f5f94de64fbd480dc5679a95516b","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":95,"seen_at":"2026-10-01T10:03:49+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":19982405,"hres":31712205,"icon":14790355,"wn2":7002111},"locked_at":"2026-09-29T06:03:00+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-04T06:35:30+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260930:D1","gap_bp":1029,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260930:D1:aifs-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":1468950,"no_digest":"79f7aaba60352242f8fee4ea93030949589076e9b331a1fced6af288c929ad60","quantity":21,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":19531050,"yes_digest":"62154122edc211c02a90654861a3b5e645d185ab92cb3e62df2ae877ff11ac85","yes_price":930050,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-29T06:03:00+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-04T06:35:30+00:00","yes_pnl":1468950,"no_pnl":-1468950},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260930:D1","gap_bp":661,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20260930:D1:icon-wn2","no":"icon","no_collateral":284550,"no_digest":"1a3ae03f5e57ddf4626bb5c30fe7dcc2b06592d5ea8392265e36ec7d270ae4d4","quantity":7,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":6715450,"yes_digest":"618803ee5a07fec384ec9ead5785d9532f1283a41070793428c3d27887954ffb","yes_price":959350,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-29T06:03:00+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-04T06:35:30+00:00","yes_pnl":284550,"no_pnl":-284550}]}