{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20261003:D5","lead":5,"line":86,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-28T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Houston, TX","normal_hash":"d7c90a76185b10aeabd33ecdd2ff90451933af4f7413aa42abc89773875188cc","opponents":[["aifs","wn2"],["hres","eps"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KIAH-20261003-TMAX-GE86","region":"plains","station":"KIAH","target_date":"20261003","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-10-11T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-10-03T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-28T01:57:13+00:00","digest":"4d3c035f600de8d2afcc31ae4862bfdc251673d1a2427e1484cd81636bff50da","init_at":"2026-09-27T18:00:00+00:00","mean":90.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.821,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-28T01:53:52+00:00","sd":5.32},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-27T15:25:31+00:00","digest":"4b9633f40e5a526129c8ee8fa4c44e3ec8fc4641b4f711d2a9071c5f42d1c6bf","init_at":"2026-09-27T00:00:00+00:00","mean":89.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.899,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-27T15:13:01+00:00","sd":3.45},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-27T19:56:20+00:00","digest":"e745912dcbf2c9dc00003c34630ac10bea2573a8e221e97e1110ae156046b551","init_at":"2026-09-27T12:00:00+00:00","mean":89.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.746,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-27T19:54:26+00:00","sd":6.64},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-28T04:30:53+00:00","digest":"921ab221727ca643d6c80bd0d69a47f2d2479fb7aac02434abfa95b4eb75dad2","init_at":"2026-09-28T00:00:00+00:00","mean":78.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.0988,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-28T04:30:53+00:00","sd":5.82},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:25+00:00","digest":"a7a735b55360a6cee5f1be2150f279e7ec66b332023d12a99c62ecb111aa261c","init_at":"2026-09-27T18:00:00+00:00","mean":91.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.8913,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:25+00:00","sd":4.54}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20261003:D5:aifs-wn2","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20261003:D5:eps-hres","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261003","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T09:45:36+00:00","fingerprint":"d66004fe79089f4285e9158ba02ae8a65f3ee4fee358aec0b5332c5088f4b682","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"aa215c8fbae0d01aa7d84bdd69249af0bba539d894326329cdf5632291d0bda8","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":92,"seen_at":"2026-10-04T09:45:36+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20261003","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T09:45:36+00:00","fingerprint":"d66004fe79089f4285e9158ba02ae8a65f3ee4fee358aec0b5332c5088f4b682","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"aa215c8fbae0d01aa7d84bdd69249af0bba539d894326329cdf5632291d0bda8","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":92,"seen_at":"2026-10-04T09:45:36+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261003","element_station":"KIAH","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T09:45:36+00:00","fingerprint":"d66004fe79089f4285e9158ba02ae8a65f3ee4fee358aec0b5332c5088f4b682","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"aa215c8fbae0d01aa7d84bdd69249af0bba539d894326329cdf5632291d0bda8","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KIAH","station_ids":["12960 1","414300 2","72243 4","IAH 3","IAH 7","KIAH 5","USW00012960 32","USW00012960 6"],"station_name":"HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL AP","value":92,"seen_at":"2026-10-04T09:45:36+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":13678115,"eps":15380340,"hres":21162566,"wn2":12065420},"locked_at":"2026-09-28T06:04:55+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-07T06:30:29+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20261003:D5","gap_bp":703,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20261003:D5:aifs-wn2","no":"aifs","no_collateral":2013900,"no_digest":"4d3c035f600de8d2afcc31ae4862bfdc251673d1a2427e1484cd81636bff50da","quantity":14,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":11986100,"yes_digest":"a7a735b55360a6cee5f1be2150f279e7ec66b332023d12a99c62ecb111aa261c","yes_price":856150,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-28T06:04:55+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-07T06:30:29+00:00","yes_pnl":2013900,"no_pnl":-2013900},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20261003:D5","gap_bp":1530,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KIAH:20261003:D5:eps-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":3195000,"no_digest":"e745912dcbf2c9dc00003c34630ac10bea2573a8e221e97e1110ae156046b551","quantity":18,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":14805000,"yes_digest":"4b9633f40e5a526129c8ee8fa4c44e3ec8fc4641b4f711d2a9071c5f42d1c6bf","yes_price":822500,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-28T06:04:55+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-07T06:30:29+00:00","yes_pnl":3195000,"no_pnl":-3195000}]}