{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLAX:20260918:D1","lead":1,"line":75,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-17T08:00:00+00:00","name":"Los Angeles, CA","normal_hash":"0f81381c673281cca1f88962048a10e8ac34a708c5cc0459c176a4b0ef1f6d15","opponents":[["aifs","eps"],["hres","icon"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KLAX-20260918-TMAX-GE75","region":"westus","station":"KLAX","target_date":"20260918","tz":"America/Los_Angeles","void_at":"2026-09-26T08:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-19T08:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-18T08:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-17T07:36:12+00:00","digest":"0abd08071af99588888dc4f22d0c48f295eedd0e7d6aeafc79adec4360619e6a","init_at":"2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00","mean":81.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.953,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-17T07:36:12+00:00","sd":4.12},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-16T15:06:33+00:00","digest":"f34fa5e6b278117e062e42ce0e592fda9887a131727461939de3d9db014cd8e5","init_at":"2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00","mean":75.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6842,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-16T15:06:33+00:00","sd":2.92},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-16T23:05:25+00:00","digest":"84217916c7960607344c1b0505349acf99fe5bcc02fd373f16a839d5153faa8d","init_at":"2026-09-16T12:00:00+00:00","mean":76.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6504,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-16T23:05:25+00:00","sd":4.14},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-17T04:31:23+00:00","digest":"7d0f42e388634dfb698eda9078097f7d9b567fb71408f75a6fb510ce1753cf25","init_at":"2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00","mean":76.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.7323,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-17T04:31:23+00:00","sd":3.55},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-17T05:02:17+00:00","digest":"4065c66ca912838f3c2f25c75805742df1385f23e79edae50dd1013a34f6da33","init_at":"2026-09-16T18:00:00+00:00","mean":82.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9848,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-17T05:02:17+00:00","sd":3.51}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLAX:20260918:D1:aifs-eps","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","icon"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLAX:20260918:D1:hres-icon","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260918","element_station":"KLAX","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T12:38:29+00:00","fingerprint":"7dc1a3e48fe4e20fb5ee804da0ffd312b7e0f508dde0aa0059fa79877423e819","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"b87c4132a9d5bd628cd76dc82fbd33916f381d73aa8ce6f0decce152ae23d0e6","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLAX","station_ids":["045114 2","23174 1","72295 4","KLAX 5","LAX 3","LAX 7","USW00023174 32","USW00023174 6"],"station_name":"LOS ANGELES INTL AP","value":77,"seen_at":"2026-09-19T12:38:34+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260918","element_station":"KLAX","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T12:38:29+00:00","fingerprint":"7dc1a3e48fe4e20fb5ee804da0ffd312b7e0f508dde0aa0059fa79877423e819","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"b87c4132a9d5bd628cd76dc82fbd33916f381d73aa8ce6f0decce152ae23d0e6","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLAX","station_ids":["045114 2","23174 1","72295 4","KLAX 5","LAX 3","LAX 7","USW00023174 32","USW00023174 6"],"station_name":"LOS ANGELES INTL AP","value":77,"seen_at":"2026-09-19T12:38:34+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260918","element_station":"KLAX","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T12:38:29+00:00","fingerprint":"7dc1a3e48fe4e20fb5ee804da0ffd312b7e0f508dde0aa0059fa79877423e819","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"b87c4132a9d5bd628cd76dc82fbd33916f381d73aa8ce6f0decce152ae23d0e6","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLAX","station_ids":["045114 2","23174 1","72295 4","KLAX 5","LAX 3","LAX 7","USW00023174 32","USW00023174 6"],"station_name":"LOS ANGELES INTL AP","value":77,"seen_at":"2026-09-19T12:38:34+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":30125170,"eps":32335540,"hres":33333333,"icon":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-17T08:01:42+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-22T08:52:43+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLAX:20260918:D1","gap_bp":2688,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLAX:20260918:D1:aifs-eps","no":"eps","no_collateral":6530400,"no_digest":"f34fa5e6b278117e062e42ce0e592fda9887a131727461939de3d9db014cd8e5","quantity":36,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":29469600,"yes_digest":"0abd08071af99588888dc4f22d0c48f295eedd0e7d6aeafc79adec4360619e6a","yes_price":818600,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-17T08:01:42+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-22T08:52:43+00:00","yes_pnl":6530400,"no_pnl":-6530400},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLAX:20260918:D1","gap_bp":819,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLAX:20260918:D1:hres-icon","no":"hres","no_collateral":7716250,"no_digest":"84217916c7960607344c1b0505349acf99fe5bcc02fd373f16a839d5153faa8d","quantity":25,"yes":"icon","yes_collateral":17283750,"yes_digest":"7d0f42e388634dfb698eda9078097f7d9b567fb71408f75a6fb510ce1753cf25","yes_price":691350,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-17T08:01:42+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-22T08:52:43+00:00","yes_pnl":7716250,"no_pnl":-7716250}]}