{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260919:D3","lead":3,"line":76,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-16T05:00:00+00:00","name":"New York, NY","normal_hash":"8f9fc7051f80cc681cd28fbf8c06285e5731a969188715a99fddc5adb1d54c6f","opponents":[["aifs","eps"],["hres","icon"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KLGA-20260919-TMAX-GE76","region":"neus","station":"KLGA","target_date":"20260919","tz":"America/New_York","void_at":"2026-09-27T05:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-20T05:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-19T05:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-16T01:26:39+00:00","digest":"eb50d5b62afc0fb1eba913112b425be5a0a44153c4e7358221f26264aefdf444","init_at":"2026-09-15T18:00:00+00:00","mean":73.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.3127,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-16T01:26:39+00:00","sd":4.71},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-15T15:08:49+00:00","digest":"560f13586123dda526408bb9126dec677eb37a8d1bbbdfed05ab8d9144ee096f","init_at":"2026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00","mean":78.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.7752,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-15T15:08:49+00:00","sd":4.1},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-15T22:21:06+00:00","digest":"936eafa696a32955e38342b60662b4a2ba3605c0e35c37f51e7628e8e31eaa60","init_at":"2026-09-15T12:00:00+00:00","mean":72.5,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.2774,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-15T22:21:06+00:00","sd":5.08},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-15T19:31:23+00:00","digest":"f3d9c64cb5d55edd69001089d5ab8d710c3d21fb47ca62cbb0244dcecdf392a0","init_at":"2026-09-15T12:00:00+00:00","mean":75.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.4748,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-15T19:31:23+00:00","sd":4.75},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-15T23:07:13+00:00","digest":"bb6cca1f7b0de240abcaf150f776e7e837b64054634bfe86aa94d4fce2e7643b","init_at":"2026-09-15T12:00:00+00:00","mean":77.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.7308,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-15T23:07:13+00:00","sd":3.9}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260919:D3:aifs-eps","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","icon"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260919:D3:hres-icon","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260919","element_station":"KLGA","fetched_at":"2026-09-20T12:23:28+00:00","fingerprint":"a553f51f91dd1cf2fe7390e8e3d747354fe4ca20beb6f84edc8e8d634dbe0f73","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"2b19caa81599e08205394ea354f8bff97facaf8e2b002fbb9e571f973bce9659","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLGA","station_ids":["14732 1","305811 2","72503 4","KLGA 5","LGA 3","LGA 7","USW00014732 32","USW00014732 6"],"station_name":"LAGUARDIA AIRPORT","value":71,"seen_at":"2026-09-20T12:23:36+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260919","element_station":"KLGA","fetched_at":"2026-09-20T12:23:28+00:00","fingerprint":"a553f51f91dd1cf2fe7390e8e3d747354fe4ca20beb6f84edc8e8d634dbe0f73","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"2b19caa81599e08205394ea354f8bff97facaf8e2b002fbb9e571f973bce9659","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLGA","station_ids":["14732 1","305811 2","72503 4","KLGA 5","LGA 3","LGA 7","USW00014732 32","USW00014732 6"],"station_name":"LAGUARDIA AIRPORT","value":71,"seen_at":"2026-09-20T12:23:36+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260919","element_station":"KLGA","fetched_at":"2026-09-20T12:23:28+00:00","fingerprint":"a553f51f91dd1cf2fe7390e8e3d747354fe4ca20beb6f84edc8e8d634dbe0f73","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"2b19caa81599e08205394ea354f8bff97facaf8e2b002fbb9e571f973bce9659","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLGA","station_ids":["14732 1","305811 2","72503 4","KLGA 5","LGA 3","LGA 7","USW00014732 32","USW00014732 6"],"station_name":"LAGUARDIA AIRPORT","value":71,"seen_at":"2026-09-20T12:23:36+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":4210815,"eps":7303490,"hres":22055705,"icon":5813388},"locked_at":"2026-09-16T05:03:45+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-23T05:36:16+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260919:D3","gap_bp":4625,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260919:D3:aifs-eps","no":"aifs","no_collateral":4104450,"no_digest":"eb50d5b62afc0fb1eba913112b425be5a0a44153c4e7358221f26264aefdf444","quantity":9,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":4895550,"yes_digest":"560f13586123dda526408bb9126dec677eb37a8d1bbbdfed05ab8d9144ee096f","yes_price":543950,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-16T05:03:45+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-23T05:36:16+00:00","yes_pnl":-4895550,"no_pnl":4895550},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260919:D3","gap_bp":1974,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260919:D3:hres-icon","no":"hres","no_collateral":9358500,"no_digest":"936eafa696a32955e38342b60662b4a2ba3605c0e35c37f51e7628e8e31eaa60","quantity":15,"yes":"icon","yes_collateral":5641500,"yes_digest":"f3d9c64cb5d55edd69001089d5ab8d710c3d21fb47ca62cbb0244dcecdf392a0","yes_price":376100,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-16T05:03:45+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-23T05:36:16+00:00","yes_pnl":-5641500,"no_pnl":5641500}]}