{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D1","lead":1,"line":73,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-26T05:00:00+00:00","name":"New York, NY","normal_hash":"4aace82cc0e0d71bf97d06cad986e713b718db27a6e4f8e418371755b335e1e5","opponents":[["aifs","hres"],["icon","wn2"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KLGA-20260927-TMAX-GE73","region":"neus","station":"KLGA","target_date":"20260927","tz":"America/New_York","void_at":"2026-10-05T05:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-28T05:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-27T05:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-26T01:25:49+00:00","digest":"f2f9e381f840f8c4a04f8fba6bdd0064fcb6c4885f6ae70982a569a9c3f9e16a","init_at":"2026-09-25T18:00:00+00:00","mean":69.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.267,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-26T01:25:49+00:00","sd":4.18},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-25T13:59:57+00:00","digest":"ce99a30afac84006da10727cde5dc6dfe3d482e3cdfeaf070c718f7c7e915c68","init_at":"2026-09-25T00:00:00+00:00","mean":68.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.1659,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-25T13:59:57+00:00","sd":4.43},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-25T19:27:30+00:00","digest":"e861c174a82c2fb4a4f2150ec4ff5a10958b1a1c830c8229e16d446b8444d66a","init_at":"2026-09-25T12:00:00+00:00","mean":66.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.087,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-25T19:27:30+00:00","sd":4.12},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-26T04:33:03+00:00","digest":"34bb1845c04b01a43e4cb205c69eb93c8b0ce5a7a4e652da8f73a3326b694e80","init_at":"2026-09-26T00:00:00+00:00","mean":65.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.018,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-26T04:33:03+00:00","sd":3.53},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-25T23:05:22+00:00","digest":"5c7ad5ef5593c17cd7fc2633e4d7d2a31b3d453ddbe467b184e9c089c79d4e14","init_at":"2026-09-25T12:00:00+00:00","mean":71.5,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.3885,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-25T23:05:22+00:00","sd":3.53}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","hres"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D1:aifs-hres","status":"matched"},{"models":["icon","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D1:icon-wn2","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260927","element_station":"KLGA","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T09:29:03+00:00","fingerprint":"78c13ae0997e73f7cfe32892785f49c8c77ec3a96f88b9a83c54fb8a9fb0df08","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"888b3a9a19f94f6264c8e2dc87b66a98fc966bd4d6213d502469cc94029cf74b","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLGA","station_ids":["14732 1","305811 2","72503 4","KLGA 5","LGA 3","LGA 7","USW00014732 32","USW00014732 6"],"station_name":"LAGUARDIA AIRPORT","value":65,"seen_at":"2026-09-28T09:29:04+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260927","element_station":"KLGA","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T09:29:03+00:00","fingerprint":"78c13ae0997e73f7cfe32892785f49c8c77ec3a96f88b9a83c54fb8a9fb0df08","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"888b3a9a19f94f6264c8e2dc87b66a98fc966bd4d6213d502469cc94029cf74b","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLGA","station_ids":["14732 1","305811 2","72503 4","KLGA 5","LGA 3","LGA 7","USW00014732 32","USW00014732 6"],"station_name":"LAGUARDIA AIRPORT","value":65,"seen_at":"2026-09-28T09:29:04+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260927","element_station":"KLGA","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T09:29:03+00:00","fingerprint":"78c13ae0997e73f7cfe32892785f49c8c77ec3a96f88b9a83c54fb8a9fb0df08","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"888b3a9a19f94f6264c8e2dc87b66a98fc966bd4d6213d502469cc94029cf74b","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLGA","station_ids":["14732 1","305811 2","72503 4","KLGA 5","LGA 3","LGA 7","USW00014732 32","USW00014732 6"],"station_name":"LAGUARDIA AIRPORT","value":65,"seen_at":"2026-09-28T09:29:04+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":9147650,"hres":32182827,"icon":13596505,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-26T05:04:22+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-01T05:52:25+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D1","gap_bp":1800,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D1:aifs-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":32097000,"no_digest":"e861c174a82c2fb4a4f2150ec4ff5a10958b1a1c830c8229e16d446b8444d66a","quantity":39,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":6903000,"yes_digest":"f2f9e381f840f8c4a04f8fba6bdd0064fcb6c4885f6ae70982a569a9c3f9e16a","yes_price":177000,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-26T05:04:22+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-01T05:52:25+00:00","yes_pnl":-6903000,"no_pnl":6903000},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D1","gap_bp":3705,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D1:icon-wn2","no":"icon","no_collateral":13544750,"no_digest":"34bb1845c04b01a43e4cb205c69eb93c8b0ce5a7a4e652da8f73a3326b694e80","quantity":17,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":3455250,"yes_digest":"5c7ad5ef5593c17cd7fc2633e4d7d2a31b3d453ddbe467b184e9c089c79d4e14","yes_price":203250,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-26T05:04:22+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-01T05:52:25+00:00","yes_pnl":-3455250,"no_pnl":3455250}]}