{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D5","lead":5,"line":73,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-22T05:00:00+00:00","name":"New York, NY","normal_hash":"4aace82cc0e0d71bf97d06cad986e713b718db27a6e4f8e418371755b335e1e5","opponents":[["aifs","eps"],["hres","icon"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KLGA-20260927-TMAX-GE73","region":"neus","station":"KLGA","target_date":"20260927","tz":"America/New_York","void_at":"2026-10-05T05:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-28T05:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-27T05:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-22T01:22:04+00:00","digest":"86acb42021a694896261eda7c591b55272c41126349c4cda32a8429e337851ed","init_at":"2026-09-21T18:00:00+00:00","mean":68.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.2045,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-22T01:22:03+00:00","sd":5.33},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-21T15:01:35+00:00","digest":"cc6d2725108400d90f8464fe812fd4a61dfd83d7ea6d091291017a1dddcf3943","init_at":"2026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00","mean":71.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.391,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-21T15:01:35+00:00","sd":5.42},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-21T19:25:11+00:00","digest":"8409895696cc1a1ccfb5c5ebc5ecf4553a77b41f854325e888d66ddaf7076428","init_at":"2026-09-21T12:00:00+00:00","mean":66.5,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.1831,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-21T19:25:11+00:00","sd":6.64},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-22T04:29:01+00:00","digest":"7e053a989f62fa0de0595713db299ebfbdec1b0fa3b2656f2fa9b2be060430a3","init_at":"2026-09-22T00:00:00+00:00","mean":69.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.2806,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-22T04:29:01+00:00","sd":5.85}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D5:aifs-eps","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","icon"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D5:hres-icon","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260927","element_station":"KLGA","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T09:29:03+00:00","fingerprint":"78c13ae0997e73f7cfe32892785f49c8c77ec3a96f88b9a83c54fb8a9fb0df08","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"888b3a9a19f94f6264c8e2dc87b66a98fc966bd4d6213d502469cc94029cf74b","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLGA","station_ids":["14732 1","305811 2","72503 4","KLGA 5","LGA 3","LGA 7","USW00014732 32","USW00014732 6"],"station_name":"LAGUARDIA AIRPORT","value":65,"seen_at":"2026-09-28T09:29:04+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260927","element_station":"KLGA","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T09:29:03+00:00","fingerprint":"78c13ae0997e73f7cfe32892785f49c8c77ec3a96f88b9a83c54fb8a9fb0df08","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"888b3a9a19f94f6264c8e2dc87b66a98fc966bd4d6213d502469cc94029cf74b","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLGA","station_ids":["14732 1","305811 2","72503 4","KLGA 5","LGA 3","LGA 7","USW00014732 32","USW00014732 6"],"station_name":"LAGUARDIA AIRPORT","value":65,"seen_at":"2026-09-28T09:29:04+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260927","element_station":"KLGA","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T09:29:03+00:00","fingerprint":"78c13ae0997e73f7cfe32892785f49c8c77ec3a96f88b9a83c54fb8a9fb0df08","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"888b3a9a19f94f6264c8e2dc87b66a98fc966bd4d6213d502469cc94029cf74b","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLGA","station_ids":["14732 1","305811 2","72503 4","KLGA 5","LGA 3","LGA 7","USW00014732 32","USW00014732 6"],"station_name":"LAGUARDIA AIRPORT","value":65,"seen_at":"2026-09-28T09:29:04+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":33333333,"eps":15385005,"hres":33333333,"icon":15906705},"locked_at":"2026-09-22T05:00:11+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-01T05:52:25+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D5","gap_bp":1865,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D5:aifs-eps","no":"aifs","no_collateral":33005750,"no_digest":"86acb42021a694896261eda7c591b55272c41126349c4cda32a8429e337851ed","quantity":47,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":13994250,"yes_digest":"cc6d2725108400d90f8464fe812fd4a61dfd83d7ea6d091291017a1dddcf3943","yes_price":297750,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-22T05:00:11+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-01T05:52:25+00:00","yes_pnl":-13994250,"no_pnl":13994250},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D5","gap_bp":975,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260927:D5:hres-icon","no":"hres","no_collateral":19203750,"no_digest":"8409895696cc1a1ccfb5c5ebc5ecf4553a77b41f854325e888d66ddaf7076428","quantity":25,"yes":"icon","yes_collateral":5796250,"yes_digest":"7e053a989f62fa0de0595713db299ebfbdec1b0fa3b2656f2fa9b2be060430a3","yes_price":231850,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-22T05:00:11+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-01T05:52:25+00:00","yes_pnl":-5796250,"no_pnl":5796250}]}