{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260929:D1","lead":1,"line":72,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-28T05:00:00+00:00","name":"New York, NY","normal_hash":"ed14741b4bfe6456834e89e2a5c9ca80350bfe5a8d5431af74564b017e3a9ab3","opponents":[["aifs","wn2"],["hres","eps"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KLGA-20260929-TMAX-GE72","region":"neus","station":"KLGA","target_date":"20260929","tz":"America/New_York","void_at":"2026-10-07T05:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-30T05:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-29T05:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-28T01:22:14+00:00","digest":"f6a41284bb650ec44b3c570aa5776968dc249bc76bea38e58aa1e5b4f184cc2b","init_at":"2026-09-27T18:00:00+00:00","mean":71.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.5191,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-28T01:22:14+00:00","sd":4.17},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-27T14:57:28+00:00","digest":"2c7dcc9b4563e404f8d95cb325bb493d9e0f559837ac524493f83af035749b20","init_at":"2026-09-27T00:00:00+00:00","mean":71.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.521,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-27T14:57:28+00:00","sd":3.8},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-27T19:23:04+00:00","digest":"90b2c40f757ab6823465ec4f731707d556bb0d9fad75307fab41750e4e1542a4","init_at":"2026-09-27T12:00:00+00:00","mean":72.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6238,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-27T19:23:04+00:00","sd":4.12},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-28T04:30:46+00:00","digest":"789a0c942741570d56157a07f505e73e40b2e1cde69237ae4ec1ac35829e0716","init_at":"2026-09-28T00:00:00+00:00","mean":70.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.4214,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-28T04:30:46+00:00","sd":3.53},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-27T23:01:45+00:00","digest":"000e072893326d3a50d6b7651dd158354b9cd6988a4997822ec9913f1d6561af","init_at":"2026-09-27T12:00:00+00:00","mean":72.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6433,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-27T23:01:45+00:00","sd":3.54}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260929:D1:aifs-wn2","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260929:D1:eps-hres","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260929","element_station":"KLGA","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:16+00:00","fingerprint":"664189b28812e2fce8766117d162a9635c3099ea03fd5d6e315198c893306964","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"72689cac3113c47a0ec410e80838f61b10ce4a1522af098d20e200f6d717e028","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLGA","station_ids":["14732 1","305811 2","72503 4","KLGA 5","LGA 3","LGA 7","USW00014732 32","USW00014732 6"],"station_name":"LAGUARDIA AIRPORT","value":71,"seen_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260929","element_station":"KLGA","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:16+00:00","fingerprint":"664189b28812e2fce8766117d162a9635c3099ea03fd5d6e315198c893306964","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"72689cac3113c47a0ec410e80838f61b10ce4a1522af098d20e200f6d717e028","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLGA","station_ids":["14732 1","305811 2","72503 4","KLGA 5","LGA 3","LGA 7","USW00014732 32","USW00014732 6"],"station_name":"LAGUARDIA AIRPORT","value":71,"seen_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260929","element_station":"KLGA","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:16+00:00","fingerprint":"664189b28812e2fce8766117d162a9635c3099ea03fd5d6e315198c893306964","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"72689cac3113c47a0ec410e80838f61b10ce4a1522af098d20e200f6d717e028","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KLGA","station_ids":["14732 1","305811 2","72503 4","KLGA 5","LGA 3","LGA 7","USW00014732 32","USW00014732 6"],"station_name":"LAGUARDIA AIRPORT","value":71,"seen_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":15028460,"eps":14157822,"hres":25131750,"wn2":29222666},"locked_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:16+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-03T05:13:20+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260929:D1","gap_bp":1242,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260929:D1:aifs-wn2","no":"aifs","no_collateral":14658000,"no_digest":"f6a41284bb650ec44b3c570aa5776968dc249bc76bea38e58aa1e5b4f184cc2b","quantity":35,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":20342000,"yes_digest":"000e072893326d3a50d6b7651dd158354b9cd6988a4997822ec9913f1d6561af","yes_price":581200,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:16+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-03T05:13:20+00:00","yes_pnl":-20342000,"no_pnl":20342000},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260929:D1","gap_bp":1028,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KLGA:20260929:D1:eps-hres","no":"eps","no_collateral":14110800,"no_digest":"2c7dcc9b4563e404f8d95cb325bb493d9e0f559837ac524493f83af035749b20","quantity":33,"yes":"hres","yes_collateral":18889200,"yes_digest":"90b2c40f757ab6823465ec4f731707d556bb0d9fad75307fab41750e4e1542a4","yes_price":572400,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:16+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-03T05:13:20+00:00","yes_pnl":-18889200,"no_pnl":18889200}]}