{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260912:D3","lead":3,"line":75,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-09T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Minneapolis, MN","normal_hash":"e14ed9de52a3d98c115cff2724c8b0145b07129bec801cda1e51146684d07b3c","opponents":[["aifs","hres"],["icon","wn2"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KMSP-20260912-TMAX-GE75","region":"greatlakes","station":"KMSP","target_date":"20260912","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-09-20T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-13T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-12T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-09T01:36:28+00:00","digest":"d0750789179d4ef6424cc6ad469a8b91ae8f575335ed320048f96e5de09c519d","init_at":"2026-09-08T18:00:00+00:00","mean":75.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-09T01:30:01+00:00","sd":4.76},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-09T03:06:40+00:00","digest":"24685cc781cfcbf9484601f263a6418c3b49ab826f5b5b0f576c74da303fe2ab","init_at":"2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00","mean":81.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.959,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-09T03:01:51+00:00","sd":3.9},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-08T19:35:45+00:00","digest":"35bd6130e0d6a4286bdb90b48d3fc9456f421e7016a2fb8e31a241bf8aca3e62","init_at":"2026-09-08T12:00:00+00:00","mean":73.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.399,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-08T19:22:37+00:00","sd":5.09},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-08T19:35:45+00:00","digest":"04bbaf4e76be4a14cab54a4b83a2331ef4c1b9311c11d869186aa0b496565f59","init_at":"2026-09-08T12:00:00+00:00","mean":73.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.381,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-08T19:22:37+00:00","sd":4.63},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-09T05:21:56+00:00","digest":"d840a26547d597038153caae6250c3ba69681b0b2063a047085c3f5d0cf06c0f","init_at":"2026-09-08T18:00:00+00:00","mean":74.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.469,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-09T05:19:42+00:00","sd":3.88}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","hres"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260912:D3:aifs-hres","status":"matched"},{"models":["icon","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260912:D3:icon-wn2","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260912","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T09:35:08+00:00","fingerprint":"feaee54ef90001b0290f037306a951a9e85b1f9fc4dcbdc82f607768ba263e27","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"cc2016d676e41bb6ea3494aa7f11d6b2e8d9284818976153e6e7df75a4552246","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":76,"seen_at":"2026-09-13T09:35:09+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260912","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T09:35:08+00:00","fingerprint":"feaee54ef90001b0290f037306a951a9e85b1f9fc4dcbdc82f607768ba263e27","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"cc2016d676e41bb6ea3494aa7f11d6b2e8d9284818976153e6e7df75a4552246","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":76,"seen_at":"2026-09-13T09:35:09+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260912","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-09-13T09:35:08+00:00","fingerprint":"feaee54ef90001b0290f037306a951a9e85b1f9fc4dcbdc82f607768ba263e27","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"cc2016d676e41bb6ea3494aa7f11d6b2e8d9284818976153e6e7df75a4552246","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":76,"seen_at":"2026-09-13T09:35:09+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":33333333,"hres":33333333,"icon":33333333,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-09T06:00:25+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-16T06:21:13+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260912:D3","gap_bp":2010,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260912:D3:aifs-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":33033000,"no_digest":"35bd6130e0d6a4286bdb90b48d3fc9456f421e7016a2fb8e31a241bf8aca3e62","quantity":66,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":32967000,"yes_digest":"d0750789179d4ef6424cc6ad469a8b91ae8f575335ed320048f96e5de09c519d","yes_price":499500,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-09T06:00:25+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-16T06:21:13+00:00","yes_pnl":33033000,"no_pnl":-33033000},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260912:D3","gap_bp":880,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260912:D3:icon-wn2","no":"icon","no_collateral":14375000,"no_digest":"04bbaf4e76be4a14cab54a4b83a2331ef4c1b9311c11d869186aa0b496565f59","quantity":25,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":10625000,"yes_digest":"d840a26547d597038153caae6250c3ba69681b0b2063a047085c3f5d0cf06c0f","yes_price":425000,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-09T06:00:25+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-16T06:21:13+00:00","yes_pnl":14375000,"no_pnl":-14375000}]}