{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260916:D1","lead":1,"line":73,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-15T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Minneapolis, MN","normal_hash":"2efe2ac656609cbfd98d694e2d9dd4ea14dcbd13d4304119718d449b6e6612a9","opponents":[["aifs","wn2"],["hres","eps"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KMSP-20260916-TMAX-GE73","region":"greatlakes","station":"KMSP","target_date":"20260916","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-09-24T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-17T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-16T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-15T03:30:26+00:00","digest":"8ab4e8f9998108c0a7eefbe576b3afa134e2feb06d50beec4333f5d105d84605","init_at":"2026-09-14T18:00:00+00:00","mean":73.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.584,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-15T03:19:51+00:00","sd":4.25},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-15T03:30:26+00:00","digest":"1154385967dccd7cb4567611baec067af0ae4b75d7e692910d3300e3baed3e52","init_at":"2026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00","mean":73.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.582,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-15T03:19:51+00:00","sd":2.42},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-15T03:30:26+00:00","digest":"e53b531b66b9b7dd61340688cbb3d0badae6dd73b81a199548f3e423425def15","init_at":"2026-09-14T12:00:00+00:00","mean":72.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.471,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-15T03:19:51+00:00","sd":4.16},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-15T03:30:26+00:00","digest":"e196b7f95b12281ce6262a9eb29da58f83791693baaed431d55b1ef6227fabcc","init_at":"2026-09-14T12:00:00+00:00","mean":73.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.632,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-15T03:19:51+00:00","sd":3.56},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-15T05:45:51+00:00","digest":"039bad0a539f36e1f1bd14f1aac29123908f4a13a0af5bd701819451a5319db7","init_at":"2026-09-14T18:00:00+00:00","mean":71.5,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.388,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-15T05:38:27+00:00","sd":3.5}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260916:D1:aifs-wn2","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260916:D1:eps-hres","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260916","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T09:08:44+00:00","fingerprint":"0f6214ec7bb57a3fc0d6c7125ad2196756696ebf732205d641a9251845d8fb4a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"a4dcccb8e3e9c5d5df76068ccb1f6a082e493d1412d7e936248e4e38c3cc547f","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":75,"seen_at":"2026-09-17T09:08:45+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260916","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T09:08:44+00:00","fingerprint":"0f6214ec7bb57a3fc0d6c7125ad2196756696ebf732205d641a9251845d8fb4a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"a4dcccb8e3e9c5d5df76068ccb1f6a082e493d1412d7e936248e4e38c3cc547f","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":75,"seen_at":"2026-09-17T09:08:45+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260916","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T09:08:44+00:00","fingerprint":"0f6214ec7bb57a3fc0d6c7125ad2196756696ebf732205d641a9251845d8fb4a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"a4dcccb8e3e9c5d5df76068ccb1f6a082e493d1412d7e936248e4e38c3cc547f","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":75,"seen_at":"2026-09-17T09:08:45+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":3619490,"eps":17373205,"hres":26163395,"wn2":3975961},"locked_at":"2026-09-15T06:04:07+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-20T06:11:17+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260916:D1","gap_bp":1960,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260916:D1:aifs-wn2","no":"wn2","no_collateral":3598000,"no_digest":"039bad0a539f36e1f1bd14f1aac29123908f4a13a0af5bd701819451a5319db7","quantity":7,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":3402000,"yes_digest":"8ab4e8f9998108c0a7eefbe576b3afa134e2feb06d50beec4333f5d105d84605","yes_price":486000,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-15T06:04:07+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-20T06:11:17+00:00","yes_pnl":3598000,"no_pnl":-3598000},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260916:D1","gap_bp":1110,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260916:D1:eps-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":15152000,"no_digest":"e53b531b66b9b7dd61340688cbb3d0badae6dd73b81a199548f3e423425def15","quantity":32,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":16848000,"yes_digest":"1154385967dccd7cb4567611baec067af0ae4b75d7e692910d3300e3baed3e52","yes_price":526500,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-15T06:04:07+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-20T06:11:17+00:00","yes_pnl":15152000,"no_pnl":-15152000}]}