{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260918:D1","lead":1,"line":72,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-17T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Minneapolis, MN","normal_hash":"df6002ff9cec0f14339bcc236c89989780c11df0039bce572ff5d288d00c9b6a","opponents":[["aifs","eps"],["hres","icon"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KMSP-20260918-TMAX-GE72","region":"greatlakes","station":"KMSP","target_date":"20260918","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-09-26T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-19T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-18T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-17T01:24:35+00:00","digest":"c46b34a60e5e5890676d11ae2096d82e7e43f4abf3f8eb17bde1bbcf12b06322","init_at":"2026-09-16T18:00:00+00:00","mean":67.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.1604,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-17T01:24:35+00:00","sd":4.23},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-16T23:05:21+00:00","digest":"912a8e9eb3dfff77d655b2417fc4ab639aa1703e29595eea0a8922db2643557f","init_at":"2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00","mean":76.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9446,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-16T23:05:21+00:00","sd":3.01},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-16T23:05:21+00:00","digest":"8c817ed95e64375492c530f48126b6bd7b99fb13fd57fb227485a3c594a05f5b","init_at":"2026-09-16T12:00:00+00:00","mean":62.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.0158,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-16T23:05:21+00:00","sd":4.14},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-17T04:31:19+00:00","digest":"4d4ad9ea2ce036958e8cd0563f0bf0ae125adb91b03f3301b28e1bbd60b9b6e8","init_at":"2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00","mean":61.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.0029,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-17T04:31:18+00:00","sd":3.55},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-17T05:02:13+00:00","digest":"7f55369b797e697c005e216a910a31d3b37386a1a90746c058dfd8108b2b2fc8","init_at":"2026-09-16T18:00:00+00:00","mean":71.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.5227,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-17T05:02:13+00:00","sd":3.51}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260918:D1:aifs-eps","status":"matched"},{"gap_bp":129,"models":["hres","icon"],"status":"no_edge"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260918","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T09:32:51+00:00","fingerprint":"490252cf46f78981ae83c0cd31c76ea245d46216ec45887d5491dc4d7ca6f345","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"63f32614119f9175402eec3bc07c64f2550adcd6bdb5227fe6dd4cd37f458484","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":63,"seen_at":"2026-09-19T09:32:52+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260918","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T09:32:51+00:00","fingerprint":"490252cf46f78981ae83c0cd31c76ea245d46216ec45887d5491dc4d7ca6f345","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"63f32614119f9175402eec3bc07c64f2550adcd6bdb5227fe6dd4cd37f458484","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":63,"seen_at":"2026-09-19T09:32:52+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260918","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-09-19T09:32:51+00:00","fingerprint":"490252cf46f78981ae83c0cd31c76ea245d46216ec45887d5491dc4d7ca6f345","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"63f32614119f9175402eec3bc07c64f2550adcd6bdb5227fe6dd4cd37f458484","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":63,"seen_at":"2026-09-19T09:32:52+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":26219666,"eps":14933485,"hres":23792940,"icon":21936155},"locked_at":"2026-09-17T06:03:45+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-22T06:49:06+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260918:D1","gap_bp":7842,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20260918:D1:aifs-eps","no":"aifs","no_collateral":12082500,"no_digest":"c46b34a60e5e5890676d11ae2096d82e7e43f4abf3f8eb17bde1bbcf12b06322","quantity":27,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":14917500,"yes_digest":"912a8e9eb3dfff77d655b2417fc4ab639aa1703e29595eea0a8922db2643557f","yes_price":552500,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-17T06:03:45+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-22T06:49:06+00:00","yes_pnl":-14917500,"no_pnl":14917500}]}