{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D1","lead":1,"line":65,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-10-03T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Minneapolis, MN","normal_hash":"c148cde34aaf13a29ed327d469e87c287ac60f3765eaccb828a57218a8a329eb","opponents":[["aifs","hres"],["icon","wn2"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KMSP-20261004-TMAX-GE65","region":"greatlakes","station":"KMSP","target_date":"20261004","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-10-12T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-05T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-03T01:26:03+00:00","digest":"5aa65f01ed2e5d1a9a02dae70db6b70833bdf978bb7a00e0fe1b77acefd5d2a9","init_at":"2026-10-02T18:00:00+00:00","mean":68.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.8072,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-10-03T01:26:03+00:00","sd":4.15},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-02T23:03:44+00:00","digest":"996b4f3ffd778f5dc9be50a1f6a65f5bfaf77d246e8f2bad3e8a1261bb498372","init_at":"2026-10-02T00:00:00+00:00","mean":65.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6261,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-10-02T23:03:44+00:00","sd":3.42},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-02T22:32:20+00:00","digest":"d25388fb98c051c9b544c7c68e86e17d85d560fcc3b933abd7ed8ce649c3a8b5","init_at":"2026-10-02T12:00:00+00:00","mean":64.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.4708,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-10-02T22:32:20+00:00","sd":4.1},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-02T17:00:07+00:00","digest":"c9a97648c2485df1cc4bf4735a3abd5456990b2e2dfa6cf5568944dc0e23eb72","init_at":"2026-10-02T12:00:00+00:00","mean":63.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.3777,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-10-02T17:00:07+00:00","sd":3.53},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-03T05:07:53+00:00","digest":"407d6b5c6188eca2c665e546741ce85320c4e961f3629689b4f1f2f8bcf39621","init_at":"2026-10-02T18:00:00+00:00","mean":68.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.8852,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-10-03T05:07:53+00:00","sd":3.08}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","hres"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D1:aifs-hres","status":"matched"},{"models":["icon","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D1:icon-wn2","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:37+00:00","fingerprint":"e7180f9636c96456c54f6e673990bf78042021d35c3f8f3c501f4ec80b76fc1a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"c01ac04a0c396e76687f1cc9498527e9146960ea1207b39f93c2e31809cf8440","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":69,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:41+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:37+00:00","fingerprint":"e7180f9636c96456c54f6e673990bf78042021d35c3f8f3c501f4ec80b76fc1a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"c01ac04a0c396e76687f1cc9498527e9146960ea1207b39f93c2e31809cf8440","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":69,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:41+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:37+00:00","fingerprint":"e7180f9636c96456c54f6e673990bf78042021d35c3f8f3c501f4ec80b76fc1a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"c01ac04a0c396e76687f1cc9498527e9146960ea1207b39f93c2e31809cf8440","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":69,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:41+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":33333333,"hres":33333333,"icon":33333333,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-10-03T06:00:32+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T06:44:29+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D1","gap_bp":3364,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D1:aifs-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":18772000,"no_digest":"d25388fb98c051c9b544c7c68e86e17d85d560fcc3b933abd7ed8ce649c3a8b5","quantity":52,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":33228000,"yes_digest":"5aa65f01ed2e5d1a9a02dae70db6b70833bdf978bb7a00e0fe1b77acefd5d2a9","yes_price":639000,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-10-03T06:00:32+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T06:44:29+00:00","yes_pnl":18772000,"no_pnl":-18772000},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D1","gap_bp":5075,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D1:icon-wn2","no":"icon","no_collateral":19164600,"no_digest":"c9a97648c2485df1cc4bf4735a3abd5456990b2e2dfa6cf5568944dc0e23eb72","quantity":52,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":32835400,"yes_digest":"407d6b5c6188eca2c665e546741ce85320c4e961f3629689b4f1f2f8bcf39621","yes_price":631450,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-10-03T06:00:32+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T06:44:29+00:00","yes_pnl":19164600,"no_pnl":-19164600}]}