{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D3","lead":3,"line":65,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-10-01T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Minneapolis, MN","normal_hash":"c148cde34aaf13a29ed327d469e87c287ac60f3765eaccb828a57218a8a329eb","opponents":[["aifs","wn2"],["hres","eps"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KMSP-20261004-TMAX-GE65","region":"greatlakes","station":"KMSP","target_date":"20261004","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-10-12T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-05T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-01T01:35:09+00:00","digest":"d253e516a92e1a1525ba6b0713f44775ad6eac4565c0f6cb0a2becc903561047","init_at":"2026-09-30T18:00:00+00:00","mean":69.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.855,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-10-01T01:35:09+00:00","sd":4.63},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-30T22:58:05+00:00","digest":"e5e2476a742ec731796a6f70f05822dc8c72efcb6f807034e0babdc237140d38","init_at":"2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00","mean":67.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.8331,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-30T22:58:05+00:00","sd":3.0},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-30T19:32:24+00:00","digest":"3f0320ee74054afa83a980bb4d6af928cae913340e2d9c2b4b009abaaf1774f7","init_at":"2026-09-30T12:00:00+00:00","mean":64.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.5238,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-30T19:32:24+00:00","sd":5.02},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-30T16:21:42+00:00","digest":"60f9e0e10b739a4373bc05aee6ae3449b6a13cc13985107161946258a69303a2","init_at":"2026-09-30T12:00:00+00:00","mean":64.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.4831,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-30T16:21:42+00:00","sd":4.72},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-01T04:59:52+00:00","digest":"b739ed9f3cb5aef00c67664689f72597096270eacc16c644d29598726207c2c7","init_at":"2026-09-30T18:00:00+00:00","mean":65.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6382,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-10-01T04:59:51+00:00","sd":3.96}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D3:aifs-wn2","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D3:eps-hres","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:37+00:00","fingerprint":"e7180f9636c96456c54f6e673990bf78042021d35c3f8f3c501f4ec80b76fc1a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"c01ac04a0c396e76687f1cc9498527e9146960ea1207b39f93c2e31809cf8440","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":69,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:41+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:37+00:00","fingerprint":"e7180f9636c96456c54f6e673990bf78042021d35c3f8f3c501f4ec80b76fc1a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"c01ac04a0c396e76687f1cc9498527e9146960ea1207b39f93c2e31809cf8440","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":69,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:41+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:37+00:00","fingerprint":"e7180f9636c96456c54f6e673990bf78042021d35c3f8f3c501f4ec80b76fc1a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"c01ac04a0c396e76687f1cc9498527e9146960ea1207b39f93c2e31809cf8440","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":69,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:41+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":23870611,"eps":16091666,"hres":24895475,"wn2":9183970},"locked_at":"2026-10-01T06:02:32+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T06:44:29+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D3","gap_bp":2168,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D3:aifs-wn2","no":"wn2","no_collateral":7855400,"no_digest":"b739ed9f3cb5aef00c67664689f72597096270eacc16c644d29598726207c2c7","quantity":31,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":23144600,"yes_digest":"d253e516a92e1a1525ba6b0713f44775ad6eac4565c0f6cb0a2becc903561047","yes_price":746600,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-10-01T06:02:32+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T06:44:29+00:00","yes_pnl":7855400,"no_pnl":-7855400},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D3","gap_bp":3093,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D3:eps-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":7395650,"no_digest":"3f0320ee74054afa83a980bb4d6af928cae913340e2d9c2b4b009abaaf1774f7","quantity":23,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":15604350,"yes_digest":"e5e2476a742ec731796a6f70f05822dc8c72efcb6f807034e0babdc237140d38","yes_price":678450,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-10-01T06:02:32+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T06:44:29+00:00","yes_pnl":7395650,"no_pnl":-7395650}]}