{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D5","lead":5,"line":65,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-29T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Minneapolis, MN","normal_hash":"c148cde34aaf13a29ed327d469e87c287ac60f3765eaccb828a57218a8a329eb","opponents":[["aifs","eps"],["hres","icon"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KMSP-20261004-TMAX-GE65","region":"greatlakes","station":"KMSP","target_date":"20261004","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-10-12T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-05T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T01:23:52+00:00","digest":"88d8b318d6755d474039e96c8785dff2520800cf44f8cc7012e0de7c5227aa29","init_at":"2026-09-28T18:00:00+00:00","mean":67.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.701,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-29T01:23:52+00:00","sd":5.31},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-28T13:55:03+00:00","digest":"d0d0062718f7d5ca8236e399a569461d8bf200196e1b550b83ad800057ffa92e","init_at":"2026-09-28T00:00:00+00:00","mean":66.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6195,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-28T13:55:03+00:00","sd":4.93},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-28T19:23:35+00:00","digest":"ce8432f68420723ee1ac15ccfca094c608f0e600d09b93cfd87b9744e683df9f","init_at":"2026-09-28T12:00:00+00:00","mean":64.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.4699,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-28T19:23:35+00:00","sd":6.63},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T04:33:19+00:00","digest":"2364bd8a9047a96d0e166c2eedb5fd8124c22e1819cc1424986ec4e99a040c5a","init_at":"2026-09-29T00:00:00+00:00","mean":65.5,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.5683,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-29T04:33:19+00:00","sd":5.81},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T05:05:23+00:00","digest":"0e115ef4599c9cd4fe919e6d721e2325e1ce8f96d8ba337e77f858387144e573","init_at":"2026-09-28T18:00:00+00:00","mean":63.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.3789,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-29T05:05:23+00:00","sd":4.54}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D5:aifs-eps","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","icon"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D5:hres-icon","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:37+00:00","fingerprint":"e7180f9636c96456c54f6e673990bf78042021d35c3f8f3c501f4ec80b76fc1a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"c01ac04a0c396e76687f1cc9498527e9146960ea1207b39f93c2e31809cf8440","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":69,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:41+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:37+00:00","fingerprint":"e7180f9636c96456c54f6e673990bf78042021d35c3f8f3c501f4ec80b76fc1a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"c01ac04a0c396e76687f1cc9498527e9146960ea1207b39f93c2e31809cf8440","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":69,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:41+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KMSP","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:37+00:00","fingerprint":"e7180f9636c96456c54f6e673990bf78042021d35c3f8f3c501f4ec80b76fc1a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"c01ac04a0c396e76687f1cc9498527e9146960ea1207b39f93c2e31809cf8440","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KMSP","station_ids":["14922 1","215435 2","72658 4","KMSP 5","MRFM5 7","MSP 3","MSP 7","USW00014922 32","USW00014922 6"],"station_name":"MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT","value":69,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T10:03:41+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":19982405,"eps":19384355,"hres":31712205,"icon":14790355},"locked_at":"2026-09-29T06:03:00+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T06:44:29+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D5","gap_bp":815,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D5:aifs-eps","no":"eps","no_collateral":8493750,"no_digest":"d0d0062718f7d5ca8236e399a569461d8bf200196e1b550b83ad800057ffa92e","quantity":25,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":16506250,"yes_digest":"88d8b318d6755d474039e96c8785dff2520800cf44f8cc7012e0de7c5227aa29","yes_price":660250,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-29T06:03:00+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T06:44:29+00:00","yes_pnl":8493750,"no_pnl":-8493750},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D5","gap_bp":984,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KMSP:20261004:D5:hres-icon","no":"hres","no_collateral":12022500,"no_digest":"ce8432f68420723ee1ac15ccfca094c608f0e600d09b93cfd87b9744e683df9f","quantity":25,"yes":"icon","yes_collateral":12977500,"yes_digest":"2364bd8a9047a96d0e166c2eedb5fd8124c22e1819cc1424986ec4e99a040c5a","yes_price":519100,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-29T06:03:00+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T06:44:29+00:00","yes_pnl":12022500,"no_pnl":-12022500}]}