{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260915:D3","lead":3,"line":76,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-12T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Chicago, IL","normal_hash":"9422be437e7ff91fa253b563d7ab5d2a1be100d4e9f478d266cc367710b8e007","opponents":[["eps","icon"],["wn2","hres"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KORD-20260915-TMAX-GE76","region":"greatlakes","station":"KORD","target_date":"20260915","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-09-23T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-16T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-15T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-12T01:32:22+00:00","digest":"bc24bc31811ac838f0f69b29faeb0fc224f1a9129b3ec7d573587d7bca5ea7dc","init_at":"2026-09-11T18:00:00+00:00","mean":84.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9741,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-12T01:32:22+00:00","sd":4.73},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-11T15:02:48+00:00","digest":"ecd65af30eebd2a691471a54fed68651d9e5f57ad7c52f67cbaac0f04c457147","init_at":"2026-09-11T00:00:00+00:00","mean":83.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.8601,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-11T15:02:48+00:00","sd":6.94},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-11T19:23:39+00:00","digest":"38db7a19abf97c50554c22a2d0bf00d320a83504990b724efe6c34fd7602d2cc","init_at":"2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00","mean":87.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9899,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-11T19:23:39+00:00","sd":5.08},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-11T16:34:43+00:00","digest":"892367135254c9e372a110d43550f7e9cc479463d13891298917c9fa0a394258","init_at":"2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00","mean":82.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9302,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-11T16:34:43+00:00","sd":4.67},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-12T05:07:10+00:00","digest":"38fd56bcd6477548be47749a46211aa8f94822e47cc6507ef4584716e34ad4ca","init_at":"2026-09-11T18:00:00+00:00","mean":83.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9848,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-12T05:07:10+00:00","sd":3.88}},"fixtures":[{"models":["eps","icon"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260915:D3:eps-icon","status":"matched"},{"gap_bp":51,"models":["wn2","hres"],"status":"no_edge"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260915","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T05:02:20+00:00","fingerprint":"b8af7f8df4b26fb40531ab81a7d5d862814a638ed9729c69c1ac63875c3bd8b1","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"37035e5e5821c7006842b6522f0986f61371ce1e92eeb45874aae1bc77446177","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":84,"seen_at":"2026-09-17T05:02:22+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260915","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T09:26:50+00:00","fingerprint":"fbe71da3fdf0ef35d366df75719592ed0d25bdab038262f594f961bdfff40a88","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"1b06fa5e08c4e186dba340a9143b6623d71688078c716e32bb6e1f291592aefa","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":85,"seen_at":"2026-09-16T09:26:50+00:00"},{"after_final":false,"date":"20260915","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T05:02:20+00:00","fingerprint":"b8af7f8df4b26fb40531ab81a7d5d862814a638ed9729c69c1ac63875c3bd8b1","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"37035e5e5821c7006842b6522f0986f61371ce1e92eeb45874aae1bc77446177","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":84,"seen_at":"2026-09-17T05:02:22+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260915","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-17T05:02:20+00:00","fingerprint":"b8af7f8df4b26fb40531ab81a7d5d862814a638ed9729c69c1ac63875c3bd8b1","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"37035e5e5821c7006842b6522f0986f61371ce1e92eeb45874aae1bc77446177","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":84,"seen_at":"2026-09-17T05:02:22+00:00"},"budgets":{"eps":33333333,"hres":33333333,"icon":33333333,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-12T06:03:34+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-19T06:27:30+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260915:D3","gap_bp":701,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260915:D3:eps-icon","no":"eps","no_collateral":2621250,"no_digest":"ecd65af30eebd2a691471a54fed68651d9e5f57ad7c52f67cbaac0f04c457147","quantity":25,"yes":"icon","yes_collateral":22378750,"yes_digest":"892367135254c9e372a110d43550f7e9cc479463d13891298917c9fa0a394258","yes_price":895150,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-12T06:03:34+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-09-19T06:27:30+00:00","yes_pnl":2621250,"no_pnl":-2621250}]}