{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260921:D3","lead":3,"line":73,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-18T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Chicago, IL","normal_hash":"be5d8acbfce0bc1b0ef6715ebe626afdf0adf34aae83517f3bc6eddf768d927c","opponents":[["aifs","wn2"],["hres","eps"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KORD-20260921-TMAX-GE73","region":"greatlakes","station":"KORD","target_date":"20260921","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-09-29T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-22T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-21T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-18T01:21:13+00:00","digest":"720e5291d985dd5f2aa6a686a3cd7de54eb3868408bf0a1b5d7c78bbac2fb4ed","init_at":"2026-09-17T18:00:00+00:00","mean":67.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.1333,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-18T01:21:13+00:00","sd":4.68},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-17T15:03:58+00:00","digest":"6bb6270aca5fa43ea1bcefa4316d6e73ef2b025f2284a3a5c29f5741500600a4","init_at":"2026-09-17T00:00:00+00:00","mean":69.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.1803,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-17T15:03:58+00:00","sd":3.5},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-17T22:31:38+00:00","digest":"5fc5bcfe04b86283423fcddead6d9be7c2a4a1af516e46d59d0a9338ca9b438c","init_at":"2026-09-17T12:00:00+00:00","mean":64.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.0592,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-17T22:31:38+00:00","sd":5.06},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-18T04:26:28+00:00","digest":"f827486b44e6d660141b8d3ef6e9e57361056cc048d17bc9de25fe8589d6a869","init_at":"2026-09-18T00:00:00+00:00","mean":67.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.0776,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-18T04:26:28+00:00","sd":3.87},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-17T23:02:28+00:00","digest":"3b56e49d53d10de2cb86567a29fd4b0b65881ca386fda38d6e4cc81de73ce98c","init_at":"2026-09-17T12:00:00+00:00","mean":71.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.3887,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-17T23:02:28+00:00","sd":3.89}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260921:D3:aifs-wn2","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260921:D3:eps-hres","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260921","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T09:54:38+00:00","fingerprint":"484e6edfc832a23fe1698c6ddd9b69900670d5efd29b8706c7b90b3c533227c5","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"c594f02f94a46177532c572e330b431ad852dff3550ad2628b0e357708954dd3","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":66,"seen_at":"2026-09-22T09:54:40+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260921","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T09:54:38+00:00","fingerprint":"484e6edfc832a23fe1698c6ddd9b69900670d5efd29b8706c7b90b3c533227c5","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"c594f02f94a46177532c572e330b431ad852dff3550ad2628b0e357708954dd3","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":66,"seen_at":"2026-09-22T09:54:40+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260921","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T09:54:38+00:00","fingerprint":"484e6edfc832a23fe1698c6ddd9b69900670d5efd29b8706c7b90b3c533227c5","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"c594f02f94a46177532c572e330b431ad852dff3550ad2628b0e357708954dd3","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":66,"seen_at":"2026-09-22T09:54:40+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":16724755,"eps":22651130,"hres":26519150,"wn2":16550805},"locked_at":"2026-09-18T06:04:14+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-25T06:27:11+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260921:D3","gap_bp":2554,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260921:D3:aifs-wn2","no":"aifs","no_collateral":16258000,"no_digest":"720e5291d985dd5f2aa6a686a3cd7de54eb3868408bf0a1b5d7c78bbac2fb4ed","quantity":22,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":5742000,"yes_digest":"3b56e49d53d10de2cb86567a29fd4b0b65881ca386fda38d6e4cc81de73ce98c","yes_price":261000,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-18T06:04:14+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-25T06:27:11+00:00","yes_pnl":-5742000,"no_pnl":5742000},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260921:D3","gap_bp":1211,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260921:D3:eps-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":26407500,"no_digest":"5fc5bcfe04b86283423fcddead6d9be7c2a4a1af516e46d59d0a9338ca9b438c","quantity":30,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":3592500,"yes_digest":"6bb6270aca5fa43ea1bcefa4316d6e73ef2b025f2284a3a5c29f5741500600a4","yes_price":119750,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-18T06:04:14+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-25T06:27:11+00:00","yes_pnl":-3592500,"no_pnl":3592500}]}