{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260924:D3","lead":3,"line":72,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-21T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Chicago, IL","normal_hash":"21ca598b8c51a3391bffe5d6569a9436b6283b599448f5139073eeb1d96c1225","opponents":[["aifs","hres"],["icon","wn2"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KORD-20260924-TMAX-GE72","region":"greatlakes","station":"KORD","target_date":"20260924","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-10-02T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-25T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-24T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-21T01:34:44+00:00","digest":"c04ea1b66c5eba7518ed2d1c20e58bfd7581ff0ca390892dda93eca92e069c68","init_at":"2026-09-20T18:00:00+00:00","mean":68.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.274,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-21T01:34:44+00:00","sd":4.66},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-20T14:59:12+00:00","digest":"6477bc4a50fa3fa0d3777cce2208a7416f63b04c28b2dba208a558d05cde8c08","init_at":"2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00","mean":67.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.0895,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-20T14:59:12+00:00","sd":3.2},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-20T22:29:04+00:00","digest":"163c7bd2021882027eae52e6ab0f52ff4a6600fb5fc1366f861b65efcbdc7a2e","init_at":"2026-09-20T12:00:00+00:00","mean":66.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.176,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-20T22:29:04+00:00","sd":5.05},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-21T04:25:10+00:00","digest":"e2260a86141019b95580c2ad25a4e2c76ebc49ca9a7ef216010720c650f4c348","init_at":"2026-09-21T00:00:00+00:00","mean":66.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.0865,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-21T04:25:10+00:00","sd":3.89}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","hres"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260924:D3:aifs-hres","status":"matched"},{"missing":["wn2"],"models":["icon","wn2"],"status":"unavailable"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260924","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T09:34:09+00:00","fingerprint":"8b2da67c7e7bbb5dbc80cc252b8dd1bd4b8b09c29ca4989a47c5799ee6689ac6","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"476f6c429f9e12b3928eda27d3ad88925f2f8979596c3d27144ec3761a7fc744","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":70,"seen_at":"2026-09-25T09:34:09+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260924","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T09:34:09+00:00","fingerprint":"8b2da67c7e7bbb5dbc80cc252b8dd1bd4b8b09c29ca4989a47c5799ee6689ac6","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"476f6c429f9e12b3928eda27d3ad88925f2f8979596c3d27144ec3761a7fc744","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":70,"seen_at":"2026-09-25T09:34:09+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260924","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T09:34:09+00:00","fingerprint":"8b2da67c7e7bbb5dbc80cc252b8dd1bd4b8b09c29ca4989a47c5799ee6689ac6","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"476f6c429f9e12b3928eda27d3ad88925f2f8979596c3d27144ec3761a7fc744","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":70,"seen_at":"2026-09-25T09:34:09+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":33333333,"hres":33333333,"icon":13635560,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-21T06:03:37+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-28T06:20:49+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260924:D3","gap_bp":980,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260924:D3:aifs-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":19375000,"no_digest":"163c7bd2021882027eae52e6ab0f52ff4a6600fb5fc1366f861b65efcbdc7a2e","quantity":25,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":5625000,"yes_digest":"c04ea1b66c5eba7518ed2d1c20e58bfd7581ff0ca390892dda93eca92e069c68","yes_price":225000,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-21T06:03:37+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-28T06:20:49+00:00","yes_pnl":-5625000,"no_pnl":5625000}]}