{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260925:D1","lead":1,"line":71,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-24T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Chicago, IL","normal_hash":"b0028fe2e50430e5ef0081dcbb6b2cad23a9dcd73a6eccea59ec4e8be91a3559","opponents":[["aifs","eps"],["hres","icon"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KORD-20260925-TMAX-GE71","region":"greatlakes","station":"KORD","target_date":"20260925","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-10-03T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-26T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-25T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-24T01:35:51+00:00","digest":"461f3d806ff650676b2800e72881ebb6d97498186d5f74d353a58eca5d37ca92","init_at":"2026-09-23T18:00:00+00:00","mean":70.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.4809,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-24T01:35:51+00:00","sd":4.18},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-23T15:11:57+00:00","digest":"e1344f7183e6ba4208439b1e9546f47d5aad1d1ff7d66c18c6a09e0f7156740b","init_at":"2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00","mean":67.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.121,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-23T15:11:57+00:00","sd":2.82},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-23T19:21:14+00:00","digest":"002f97fec79434723b33ba7aaa5603878b963e622d4c3a9edd54634905aecd01","init_at":"2026-09-23T12:00:00+00:00","mean":64.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.087,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-23T19:21:13+00:00","sd":4.12},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-24T04:27:47+00:00","digest":"fffdebc6d03cd7999fa76f393d50f66af5859ee532f5cb701e0f69915f193e13","init_at":"2026-09-24T00:00:00+00:00","mean":63.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.0308,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-24T04:27:46+00:00","sd":3.53},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-24T04:58:56+00:00","digest":"f0750db41155868b8f628040460c6e551a615aa03ad85e24be647e86294cf2ee","init_at":"2026-09-23T18:00:00+00:00","mean":72.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6949,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-24T04:58:56+00:00","sd":3.53}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260925:D1:aifs-eps","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","icon"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260925:D1:hres-icon","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260925","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T09:29:57+00:00","fingerprint":"e2fb66daed55de1578dcea165f8d3e227f032aefc2219b1713f3aa4688dbfe1d","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"0351bab0197885ff4e3c50bd939051514ed7f5c1f67a55fd9d33416a1b72860c","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":64,"seen_at":"2026-09-26T09:29:57+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260925","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T09:29:57+00:00","fingerprint":"e2fb66daed55de1578dcea165f8d3e227f032aefc2219b1713f3aa4688dbfe1d","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"0351bab0197885ff4e3c50bd939051514ed7f5c1f67a55fd9d33416a1b72860c","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":64,"seen_at":"2026-09-26T09:29:57+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260925","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T09:29:57+00:00","fingerprint":"e2fb66daed55de1578dcea165f8d3e227f032aefc2219b1713f3aa4688dbfe1d","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"0351bab0197885ff4e3c50bd939051514ed7f5c1f67a55fd9d33416a1b72860c","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":64,"seen_at":"2026-09-26T09:29:57+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":14429700,"eps":5762760,"hres":11508816,"icon":9186490},"locked_at":"2026-09-24T06:01:21+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-29T06:24:13+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260925:D1","gap_bp":3599,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260925:D1:aifs-eps","no":"eps","no_collateral":5592400,"no_digest":"e1344f7183e6ba4208439b1e9546f47d5aad1d1ff7d66c18c6a09e0f7156740b","quantity":8,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":2407600,"yes_digest":"461f3d806ff650676b2800e72881ebb6d97498186d5f74d353a58eca5d37ca92","yes_price":300950,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-24T06:01:21+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-29T06:24:13+00:00","yes_pnl":-2407600,"no_pnl":2407600},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260925:D1","gap_bp":562,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260925:D1:hres-icon","no":"icon","no_collateral":8469900,"no_digest":"fffdebc6d03cd7999fa76f393d50f66af5859ee532f5cb701e0f69915f193e13","quantity":9,"yes":"hres","yes_collateral":530100,"yes_digest":"002f97fec79434723b33ba7aaa5603878b963e622d4c3a9edd54634905aecd01","yes_price":58900,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-24T06:01:21+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-29T06:24:13+00:00","yes_pnl":-530100,"no_pnl":530100}]}