{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260929:D5","lead":5,"line":69,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-24T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Chicago, IL","normal_hash":"9d3062cbf78ae925f17debb043501b2432d1d84ebaa6c2c428ce92acc456731a","opponents":[["aifs","wn2"],["hres","eps"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KORD-20260929-TMAX-GE69","region":"greatlakes","station":"KORD","target_date":"20260929","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-10-07T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-30T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-29T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-24T01:35:51+00:00","digest":"48252e2d2e61d12d5069def3b8e237fa7c2121d13757cadb903c8c6eef940ca4","init_at":"2026-09-23T18:00:00+00:00","mean":75.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9023,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-24T01:35:51+00:00","sd":5.33},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-23T14:56:27+00:00","digest":"e8a16a2c5130783936c4c7f6766bff765baeef9635974ab94c566f992e67186c","init_at":"2026-09-23T00:00:00+00:00","mean":71.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9066,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-23T14:56:27+00:00","sd":2.5},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-23T19:21:14+00:00","digest":"caaa3c59d087653ffeb0b218b58ec26b98327972f96d494cf3908ce67e83efcb","init_at":"2026-09-23T12:00:00+00:00","mean":72.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.7312,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-23T19:21:13+00:00","sd":6.65},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-24T04:27:47+00:00","digest":"df6e2ccbc3218343cfc5eff08dc07bc7c4a2bfd588c83048532fe938890066f4","init_at":"2026-09-24T00:00:00+00:00","mean":76.5,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9139,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-24T04:27:46+00:00","sd":5.86},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-24T04:58:56+00:00","digest":"2cda8455a579bd3f1643b72d6fa43e442cf657df282b20087aed2617b348b7ba","init_at":"2026-09-23T18:00:00+00:00","mean":75.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9243,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-24T04:58:56+00:00","sd":4.53}},"fixtures":[{"gap_bp":220,"models":["aifs","wn2"],"status":"no_edge"},{"models":["hres","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260929:D5:eps-hres","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260929","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00","fingerprint":"7e865745f880afce4a5b6a08f88676f1494ab7d12957ac5534d0938882d1b16b","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"9bfeeb6bf0900466d8854e1e0f76a22d7bfa88b2e6231ba5bb122efec2b460a7","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":78,"seen_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260929","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00","fingerprint":"7e865745f880afce4a5b6a08f88676f1494ab7d12957ac5534d0938882d1b16b","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"9bfeeb6bf0900466d8854e1e0f76a22d7bfa88b2e6231ba5bb122efec2b460a7","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":78,"seen_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260929","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00","fingerprint":"7e865745f880afce4a5b6a08f88676f1494ab7d12957ac5534d0938882d1b16b","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"9bfeeb6bf0900466d8854e1e0f76a22d7bfa88b2e6231ba5bb122efec2b460a7","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":78,"seen_at":"2026-09-30T09:51:17+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":14429700,"eps":5762760,"hres":11508816,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-24T06:01:21+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-03T06:16:35+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260929:D5","gap_bp":1754,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260929:D5:eps-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":1267700,"no_digest":"caaa3c59d087653ffeb0b218b58ec26b98327972f96d494cf3908ce67e83efcb","quantity":7,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":5732300,"yes_digest":"e8a16a2c5130783936c4c7f6766bff765baeef9635974ab94c566f992e67186c","yes_price":818900,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-24T06:01:21+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-03T06:16:35+00:00","yes_pnl":1267700,"no_pnl":-1267700}]}