{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260930:D3","lead":3,"line":69,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-27T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Chicago, IL","normal_hash":"2f2ef9073ca700231f8e70cce21cac245e6f23bd308d4339b2c0930d4f8f4768","opponents":[["eps","icon"],["wn2","hres"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KORD-20260930-TMAX-GE69","region":"greatlakes","station":"KORD","target_date":"20260930","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-10-08T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-01T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-30T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-27T01:23:49+00:00","digest":"083a3a52a049b9a5a2ead97f4842be2c23a4b317aff7f1982fd82701c1a85334","init_at":"2026-09-26T18:00:00+00:00","mean":75.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9225,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-27T01:23:49+00:00","sd":4.64},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-26T14:58:40+00:00","digest":"7f9e6e46cc1d48e9e741898bbe2762420ef49a88cebd43c7661a575ecd1ef957","init_at":"2026-09-26T00:00:00+00:00","mean":73.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9374,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-26T14:58:39+00:00","sd":3.0},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-26T19:24:23+00:00","digest":"dedb01cbe8213a34283bb20d0675f8897a87fa851d37cd055ff75b3aa44f7f33","init_at":"2026-09-26T12:00:00+00:00","mean":70.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6691,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-26T19:24:23+00:00","sd":5.03},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-27T04:31:32+00:00","digest":"cb9fc49c20387d02b27c3a3fcc7e81c0c7eb31995085f68c62d84208ce1f7f60","init_at":"2026-09-27T00:00:00+00:00","mean":69.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.571,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-27T04:31:32+00:00","sd":3.91},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-27T05:02:55+00:00","digest":"ed63ddce5aee78c15f7f5fd0adef4b08189506247b971a85ac6cfc1a2eb45c02","init_at":"2026-09-26T18:00:00+00:00","mean":78.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9936,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-27T05:02:55+00:00","sd":3.94}},"fixtures":[{"models":["eps","icon"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260930:D3:eps-icon","status":"matched"},{"models":["wn2","hres"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260930:D3:hres-wn2","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260930","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:03:48+00:00","fingerprint":"47423b12fad7e2204ba87bf7aad01abfc0d85e4e86494c35be9bd55761941dc6","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"ad4031942b553a4f0fa996b581993835ec4683f8ffa7f94f339879efe48a6c40","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":70,"seen_at":"2026-10-01T10:03:49+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260930","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:03:48+00:00","fingerprint":"47423b12fad7e2204ba87bf7aad01abfc0d85e4e86494c35be9bd55761941dc6","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"ad4031942b553a4f0fa996b581993835ec4683f8ffa7f94f339879efe48a6c40","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":70,"seen_at":"2026-10-01T10:03:49+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260930","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:03:48+00:00","fingerprint":"47423b12fad7e2204ba87bf7aad01abfc0d85e4e86494c35be9bd55761941dc6","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"ad4031942b553a4f0fa996b581993835ec4683f8ffa7f94f339879efe48a6c40","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":70,"seen_at":"2026-10-01T10:03:49+00:00"},"budgets":{"eps":12055550,"hres":20251965,"icon":17435172,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-27T06:00:24+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-04T06:35:30+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260930:D3","gap_bp":3664,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260930:D3:eps-icon","no":"icon","no_collateral":3687000,"no_digest":"cb9fc49c20387d02b27c3a3fcc7e81c0c7eb31995085f68c62d84208ce1f7f60","quantity":15,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":11313000,"yes_digest":"7f9e6e46cc1d48e9e741898bbe2762420ef49a88cebd43c7661a575ecd1ef957","yes_price":754200,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-27T06:00:24+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-04T06:35:30+00:00","yes_pnl":3687000,"no_pnl":-3687000},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260930:D3","gap_bp":3245,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20260930:D3:hres-wn2","no":"hres","no_collateral":6746000,"no_digest":"dedb01cbe8213a34283bb20d0675f8897a87fa851d37cd055ff75b3aa44f7f33","quantity":40,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":33254000,"yes_digest":"ed63ddce5aee78c15f7f5fd0adef4b08189506247b971a85ac6cfc1a2eb45c02","yes_price":831350,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-27T06:00:24+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-04T06:35:30+00:00","yes_pnl":6746000,"no_pnl":-6746000}]}