{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20261005:D1","lead":1,"line":68,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00","name":"Chicago, IL","normal_hash":"ad342c82d9321d44d1c51542096fec6b155f7061815cdd62d10bee9bfbba7a67","opponents":[["aifs","eps"],["hres","icon"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KORD-20261005-TMAX-GE68","region":"greatlakes","station":"KORD","target_date":"20261005","tz":"America/Chicago","void_at":"2026-10-13T06:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-06T06:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-10-05T06:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-04T01:36:38+00:00","digest":"186f8e7720a9faff5fbb32a39e18b3412a2fc465be00edbb5b0b571cecbc985b","init_at":"2026-10-03T18:00:00+00:00","mean":71.5,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.833,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-10-04T01:36:37+00:00","sd":4.14},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-03T15:07:03+00:00","digest":"ee15b1e3eb17d734f8eba87ca555abde138fe86124e491f850b69629880a354d","init_at":"2026-10-03T00:00:00+00:00","mean":67.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.5508,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-10-03T15:07:03+00:00","sd":3.13},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-03T19:31:06+00:00","digest":"17130f60ed45d3a3dd8fe7445ef068cbab4c09a965bd403ea0a31dacae47d630","init_at":"2026-10-03T12:00:00+00:00","mean":64.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.2397,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-10-03T19:31:06+00:00","sd":4.1},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-03T19:31:06+00:00","digest":"4bf0b6249ebaf45ee0c4085f72823622315d960989fe0050c293ca5dec7df6f3","init_at":"2026-10-03T12:00:00+00:00","mean":64.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.1823,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-10-03T19:31:06+00:00","sd":3.53},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-04T05:05:09+00:00","digest":"71f81744340eb8ca0f1e1e83b47bf3de03f45a164bf8615e39bd37e1c3aaec4d","init_at":"2026-10-03T18:00:00+00:00","mean":72.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9359,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-10-04T05:05:08+00:00","sd":3.09}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20261005:D1:aifs-eps","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","icon"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20261005:D1:hres-icon","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261005","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T09:09:17+00:00","fingerprint":"6856a51be631cbf2ba1695d56faff0e99c5d813b3d2b610551428aff9339635f","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"9925d7e03f45c7bb0f3ab4ff024d6bc5551dd2e88df3686400866ee2c52fb960","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":68,"seen_at":"2026-10-06T09:09:18+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20261005","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T09:09:17+00:00","fingerprint":"6856a51be631cbf2ba1695d56faff0e99c5d813b3d2b610551428aff9339635f","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"9925d7e03f45c7bb0f3ab4ff024d6bc5551dd2e88df3686400866ee2c52fb960","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":68,"seen_at":"2026-10-06T09:09:18+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261005","element_station":"KORD","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T09:09:17+00:00","fingerprint":"6856a51be631cbf2ba1695d56faff0e99c5d813b3d2b610551428aff9339635f","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"9925d7e03f45c7bb0f3ab4ff024d6bc5551dd2e88df3686400866ee2c52fb960","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KORD","station_ids":["111549 2","72530 4","94846 1","KORD 5","ORD 3","ORD 7","USW00094846 32","USW00094846 6"],"station_name":"CHICAGO OHARE INTL AP","value":68,"seen_at":"2026-10-06T09:09:18+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":33333333,"eps":33333333,"hres":33333333,"icon":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-10-04T06:03:26+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-09T06:52:16+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20261005:D1","gap_bp":2822,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20261005:D1:aifs-eps","no":"eps","no_collateral":14788800,"no_digest":"ee15b1e3eb17d734f8eba87ca555abde138fe86124e491f850b69629880a354d","quantity":48,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":33211200,"yes_digest":"186f8e7720a9faff5fbb32a39e18b3412a2fc465be00edbb5b0b571cecbc985b","yes_price":691900,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-10-04T06:03:26+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-09T06:52:16+00:00","yes_pnl":14788800,"no_pnl":-14788800},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20261005:D1","gap_bp":574,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KORD:20261005:D1:hres-icon","no":"icon","no_collateral":19725000,"no_digest":"4bf0b6249ebaf45ee0c4085f72823622315d960989fe0050c293ca5dec7df6f3","quantity":25,"yes":"hres","yes_collateral":5275000,"yes_digest":"17130f60ed45d3a3dd8fe7445ef068cbab4c09a965bd403ea0a31dacae47d630","yes_price":211000,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-10-04T06:03:26+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-09T06:52:16+00:00","yes_pnl":19725000,"no_pnl":-19725000}]}