{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260914:D1","lead":1,"line":71,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-13T08:00:00+00:00","name":"Seattle, WA","normal_hash":"775e723023ee5fd49a41265c19253b17f962ab62162bc20787d24ffc12f032e7","opponents":[["aifs","wn2"],["hres","eps"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KSEA-20260914-TMAX-GE71","region":"westus","station":"KSEA","target_date":"20260914","tz":"America/Los_Angeles","void_at":"2026-09-22T08:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-15T08:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-14T08:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-13T07:32:03+00:00","digest":"53461e299e3af4f31fa0ead3f84d2db1378696dba0a6360bd895caed48d7c67d","init_at":"2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00","mean":69.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.3952,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-13T07:32:03+00:00","sd":4.14},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-12T15:06:11+00:00","digest":"5c267ddb2efd8f89fd07f9f9214ef596288ec58db30de70bf54b3f8836059e25","init_at":"2026-09-12T00:00:00+00:00","mean":68.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.2985,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-12T15:06:11+00:00","sd":4.35},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-13T07:32:03+00:00","digest":"07732bdf6ae332ddd507bf2379a53a05e4b5086b11d47cf73e1e18a3dba113e7","init_at":"2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00","mean":67.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.2452,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-13T07:32:03+00:00","sd":3.77},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-13T07:32:03+00:00","digest":"425fa7669ed58b3a5060ac9a534c3fd54277cb83a6c0690a60e8b909f74b8908","init_at":"2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00","mean":65.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.0709,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-13T07:32:03+00:00","sd":3.54},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-12T23:03:03+00:00","digest":"db18660ea176aec747d17352733f95d98dc27aa91776be17b9692078be205794","init_at":"2026-09-12T12:00:00+00:00","mean":70.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.4886,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-12T23:03:03+00:00","sd":3.49}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260914:D1:aifs-wn2","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260914:D1:eps-hres","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260914","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T12:50:32+00:00","fingerprint":"46c17c9ee25d7d4ee1998ea31ef1b33bd0657341f83cce776dbb7ab6640d8a37","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"8920d4dc93295731158c2a4c0e31e326486d5d2132a38211d0a032e858673561","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":67,"seen_at":"2026-09-15T12:50:32+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260914","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T12:50:32+00:00","fingerprint":"46c17c9ee25d7d4ee1998ea31ef1b33bd0657341f83cce776dbb7ab6640d8a37","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"8920d4dc93295731158c2a4c0e31e326486d5d2132a38211d0a032e858673561","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":67,"seen_at":"2026-09-15T12:50:32+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260914","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-09-15T12:50:32+00:00","fingerprint":"46c17c9ee25d7d4ee1998ea31ef1b33bd0657341f83cce776dbb7ab6640d8a37","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"8920d4dc93295731158c2a4c0e31e326486d5d2132a38211d0a032e858673561","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":67,"seen_at":"2026-09-15T12:50:32+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":11453010,"eps":10433112,"hres":33333333,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-13T08:02:34+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-18T08:48:59+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260914:D1","gap_bp":934,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260914:D1:aifs-wn2","no":"aifs","no_collateral":11162000,"no_digest":"53461e299e3af4f31fa0ead3f84d2db1378696dba0a6360bd895caed48d7c67d","quantity":20,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":8838000,"yes_digest":"db18660ea176aec747d17352733f95d98dc27aa91776be17b9692078be205794","yes_price":441900,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-13T08:02:34+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-18T08:48:59+00:00","yes_pnl":-8838000,"no_pnl":8838000},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260914:D1","gap_bp":533,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260914:D1:eps-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":18203750,"no_digest":"07732bdf6ae332ddd507bf2379a53a05e4b5086b11d47cf73e1e18a3dba113e7","quantity":25,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":6796250,"yes_digest":"5c267ddb2efd8f89fd07f9f9214ef596288ec58db30de70bf54b3f8836059e25","yes_price":271850,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-13T08:02:34+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-18T08:48:59+00:00","yes_pnl":-6796250,"no_pnl":6796250}]}