{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260915:D1","lead":1,"line":71,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-14T08:00:00+00:00","name":"Seattle, WA","normal_hash":"53ef4d564c2d96cbc4904737752d8a44d99d22f2aeb066b04404e0820b8c559c","opponents":[["aifs","icon"],["eps","wn2"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KSEA-20260915-TMAX-GE71","region":"westus","station":"KSEA","target_date":"20260915","tz":"America/Los_Angeles","void_at":"2026-09-23T08:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-16T08:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-15T08:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-14T07:36:11+00:00","digest":"42b0e1eaa4e0576e0a4a32d5fc5e5927519c93c2e3c2ce360b3dd3972c61d6e5","init_at":"2026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00","mean":67.5,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.2343,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-14T07:36:11+00:00","sd":4.14},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-13T23:09:16+00:00","digest":"0156d522841dcc1761a8e3d83b0cbaf965d090275509a8469d98e7dd43d6ae92","init_at":"2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00","mean":68.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.3483,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-13T23:09:16+00:00","sd":4.36},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-14T07:36:11+00:00","digest":"5cc6847438abe87bffaf555e8bf5a59e14e4432b021b4e2d0538c84f04f86eb4","init_at":"2026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00","mean":61.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.0059,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-14T07:36:11+00:00","sd":3.77},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-14T07:36:11+00:00","digest":"8993ea010b8ea4dcbf6bdec2ad8e71649a8b10637576b95bc49ae71a0e43fe84","init_at":"2026-09-14T00:00:00+00:00","mean":62.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.014,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-14T07:36:11+00:00","sd":3.55},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-14T05:02:49+00:00","digest":"4228a426d40d6f7788671f85aae118abf75e5a7c523926390fcc544ac2a07720","init_at":"2026-09-13T18:00:00+00:00","mean":68.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.2936,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-14T05:02:49+00:00","sd":3.5}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","icon"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260915:D1:aifs-icon","status":"matched"},{"models":["eps","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260915:D1:eps-wn2","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260915","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T12:32:39+00:00","fingerprint":"fb140d245ee959662adba8551cd4bb38695194496b546fcae6a6833637d2355b","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"652ba5a44b9d6ea49ffbc9fbc6f23d9163fcfd25309c4754b7c44d27d7c97ce3","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":68,"seen_at":"2026-09-16T12:32:39+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260915","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T12:32:39+00:00","fingerprint":"fb140d245ee959662adba8551cd4bb38695194496b546fcae6a6833637d2355b","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"652ba5a44b9d6ea49ffbc9fbc6f23d9163fcfd25309c4754b7c44d27d7c97ce3","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":68,"seen_at":"2026-09-16T12:32:39+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260915","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-09-16T12:32:39+00:00","fingerprint":"fb140d245ee959662adba8551cd4bb38695194496b546fcae6a6833637d2355b","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"652ba5a44b9d6ea49ffbc9fbc6f23d9163fcfd25309c4754b7c44d27d7c97ce3","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":68,"seen_at":"2026-09-16T12:32:39+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":3792050,"eps":5098630,"icon":4579960,"wn2":19910520},"locked_at":"2026-09-14T08:01:36+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-19T08:31:03+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260915:D1","gap_bp":2203,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260915:D1:aifs-icon","no":"icon","no_collateral":4379250,"no_digest":"8993ea010b8ea4dcbf6bdec2ad8e71649a8b10637576b95bc49ae71a0e43fe84","quantity":5,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":620750,"yes_digest":"42b0e1eaa4e0576e0a4a32d5fc5e5927519c93c2e3c2ce360b3dd3972c61d6e5","yes_price":124150,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-14T08:01:36+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-19T08:31:03+00:00","yes_pnl":-620750,"no_pnl":620750},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260915:D1","gap_bp":547,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260915:D1:eps-wn2","no":"wn2","no_collateral":10185750,"no_digest":"4228a426d40d6f7788671f85aae118abf75e5a7c523926390fcc544ac2a07720","quantity":15,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":4814250,"yes_digest":"0156d522841dcc1761a8e3d83b0cbaf965d090275509a8469d98e7dd43d6ae92","yes_price":320950,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-14T08:01:36+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-19T08:31:03+00:00","yes_pnl":-4814250,"no_pnl":4814250}]}