{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260921:D5","lead":5,"line":69,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-16T08:00:00+00:00","name":"Seattle, WA","normal_hash":"e062623f1b91ee481e7e15038815231b3ae8bfacd3e3260788e86c999bbeccb1","opponents":[["aifs","icon"],["eps","wn2"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KSEA-20260921-TMAX-GE69","region":"westus","station":"KSEA","target_date":"20260921","tz":"America/Los_Angeles","void_at":"2026-09-29T08:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-22T08:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-21T08:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-16T07:22:50+00:00","digest":"4e88c9c2dc792fa2420250321b4fb192b119b4e2f687cc8b3b8627a11788cded","init_at":"2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00","mean":70.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.626,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-16T07:22:50+00:00","sd":4.98},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-15T15:08:59+00:00","digest":"c47991b8666613de80c458b1c0fb6af8d3f42fc385ff56aa5b1449892017d22e","init_at":"2026-09-15T00:00:00+00:00","mean":70.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6797,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-15T15:08:59+00:00","sd":5.14},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-16T07:22:50+00:00","digest":"40ed3c4c68b180721178da0425792893628776a39566228e1c5ba546f216710e","init_at":"2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00","mean":72.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.7579,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-16T07:22:50+00:00","sd":5.86},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-16T07:22:50+00:00","digest":"1b434266c6a3a76e2309fa01d7c8b49097cd12de2ebfea7a81f065fa1b322cd2","init_at":"2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00","mean":70.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6461,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-16T07:22:50+00:00","sd":5.87},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-16T05:03:55+00:00","digest":"617b7060f1d35aad13b2194f8d6ef4994509288f821e5ed9deecc9af3e5c4065","init_at":"2026-09-15T18:00:00+00:00","mean":69.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.5798,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-16T05:03:55+00:00","sd":4.47}},"fixtures":[{"gap_bp":201,"models":["aifs","icon"],"status":"no_edge"},{"models":["eps","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260921:D5:eps-wn2","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260921","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T13:00:50+00:00","fingerprint":"829b51ee39737ce1f337ca7181a67f264d3f13569eb5ef47f62e30b6f2a8fc60","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"a7c4ffe8a2518ddf65f4e6c2500566904fc853e621b70adcddb622b17d58eed1","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":67,"seen_at":"2026-09-22T13:00:50+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260921","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T13:00:50+00:00","fingerprint":"829b51ee39737ce1f337ca7181a67f264d3f13569eb5ef47f62e30b6f2a8fc60","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"a7c4ffe8a2518ddf65f4e6c2500566904fc853e621b70adcddb622b17d58eed1","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":67,"seen_at":"2026-09-22T13:00:50+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260921","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-09-22T13:00:50+00:00","fingerprint":"829b51ee39737ce1f337ca7181a67f264d3f13569eb5ef47f62e30b6f2a8fc60","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"a7c4ffe8a2518ddf65f4e6c2500566904fc853e621b70adcddb622b17d58eed1","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":67,"seen_at":"2026-09-22T13:00:50+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":33333333,"eps":16734150,"icon":26299980,"wn2":29902510},"locked_at":"2026-09-16T08:04:02+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-25T08:31:56+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260921:D5","gap_bp":999,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260921:D5:eps-wn2","no":"wn2","no_collateral":9256250,"no_digest":"617b7060f1d35aad13b2194f8d6ef4994509288f821e5ed9deecc9af3e5c4065","quantity":25,"yes":"eps","yes_collateral":15743750,"yes_digest":"c47991b8666613de80c458b1c0fb6af8d3f42fc385ff56aa5b1449892017d22e","yes_price":629750,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-16T08:04:02+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-09-25T08:31:56+00:00","yes_pnl":-15743750,"no_pnl":15743750}]}