{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260927:D1","lead":1,"line":67,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-26T08:00:00+00:00","name":"Seattle, WA","normal_hash":"f7dfd9d0fbc1d11f7c649bd11beb673fd7ac68372fefffe1ba27e0d59c0c36b6","opponents":[["aifs","hres"],["icon","wn2"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KSEA-20260927-TMAX-GE67","region":"westus","station":"KSEA","target_date":"20260927","tz":"America/Los_Angeles","void_at":"2026-10-05T08:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-09-28T08:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-27T08:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-26T07:24:55+00:00","digest":"6714c82aa0eb8cd2b4464483dbf5f1a222f96a590fb452368cc26ce0678ceb92","init_at":"2026-09-26T00:00:00+00:00","mean":66.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.5392,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-26T07:24:55+00:00","sd":4.06},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-25T15:17:57+00:00","digest":"b6216e8ffa2fe1ee6246d7a3b8a21662684b861b60dfca6730a03e03348b857f","init_at":"2026-09-25T00:00:00+00:00","mean":63.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.2473,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-25T15:17:57+00:00","sd":4.1},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-26T07:24:55+00:00","digest":"240884545ea06f5c1eced807cd6d0d4a918e931ca1e6283dddac38de074d0737","init_at":"2026-09-26T00:00:00+00:00","mean":63.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.2042,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-26T07:24:55+00:00","sd":3.75},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-26T04:33:16+00:00","digest":"e96aa53a00659dea2aca06579220a6afe8e11cbd4b95cd7fd56b7ab02c502189","init_at":"2026-09-26T00:00:00+00:00","mean":61.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.0666,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-26T04:33:16+00:00","sd":3.53},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-26T05:04:34+00:00","digest":"01381bc939c0f3c88a8ad7128447cf0fa3b7b31d963f1d977d67a007ab584d80","init_at":"2026-09-25T18:00:00+00:00","mean":64.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.276,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-26T05:04:33+00:00","sd":3.53}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","hres"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260927:D1:aifs-hres","status":"matched"},{"models":["icon","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260927:D1:icon-wn2","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260927","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T12:36:48+00:00","fingerprint":"bd7b6942b048c57bf0c5a5ddf790ac401c8fc9f021edc29f39263f6386f8f5d8","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"a970072a7edb9e6c76e5a5e4fda136b53b45139dc89a4c7b9d1638208cbd66e7","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":65,"seen_at":"2026-09-28T12:36:48+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260927","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T12:36:48+00:00","fingerprint":"bd7b6942b048c57bf0c5a5ddf790ac401c8fc9f021edc29f39263f6386f8f5d8","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"a970072a7edb9e6c76e5a5e4fda136b53b45139dc89a4c7b9d1638208cbd66e7","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":65,"seen_at":"2026-09-28T12:36:48+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260927","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T12:36:48+00:00","fingerprint":"bd7b6942b048c57bf0c5a5ddf790ac401c8fc9f021edc29f39263f6386f8f5d8","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"a970072a7edb9e6c76e5a5e4fda136b53b45139dc89a4c7b9d1638208cbd66e7","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":65,"seen_at":"2026-09-28T12:36:48+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":22679860,"hres":33333333,"icon":33333333,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-26T08:01:18+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-01T09:00:53+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260927:D1","gap_bp":3350,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260927:D1:aifs-hres","no":"hres","no_collateral":33299900,"no_digest":"240884545ea06f5c1eced807cd6d0d4a918e931ca1e6283dddac38de074d0737","quantity":53,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":19700100,"yes_digest":"6714c82aa0eb8cd2b4464483dbf5f1a222f96a590fb452368cc26ce0678ceb92","yes_price":371700,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-26T08:01:18+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-01T09:00:53+00:00","yes_pnl":-19700100,"no_pnl":19700100},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260927:D1","gap_bp":2094,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260927:D1:icon-wn2","no":"icon","no_collateral":33148000,"no_digest":"e96aa53a00659dea2aca06579220a6afe8e11cbd4b95cd7fd56b7ab02c502189","quantity":40,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":6852000,"yes_digest":"01381bc939c0f3c88a8ad7128447cf0fa3b7b31d963f1d977d67a007ab584d80","yes_price":171300,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-26T08:01:18+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-01T09:00:53+00:00","yes_pnl":-6852000,"no_pnl":6852000}]}