{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260930:D5","lead":5,"line":66,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-25T08:00:00+00:00","name":"Seattle, WA","normal_hash":"141245eff248eb536854b9fd321ec01fbdbe45bc61e832e6b84e3d27ab54b02c","opponents":[["aifs","wn2"],["hres","eps"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KSEA-20260930-TMAX-GE66","region":"westus","station":"KSEA","target_date":"20260930","tz":"America/Los_Angeles","void_at":"2026-10-08T08:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-01T08:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-09-30T08:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-25T07:29:25+00:00","digest":"92508bb5efb752ad64bf1e87c34fd467db5b91a2d4721e6c0a0519b57b98abb0","init_at":"2026-09-25T00:00:00+00:00","mean":66.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.5402,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-25T07:29:25+00:00","sd":4.95},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-24T15:06:56+00:00","digest":"e57d90a4113d2be51a22f069773406688f9805e96e63eafa5c58e65ce527ea12","init_at":"2026-09-24T00:00:00+00:00","mean":65.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.5156,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-24T15:06:55+00:00","sd":5.12},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-24T22:23:12+00:00","digest":"f9f50a65570578cfda47a61b90ee12adf7f3cec8e913611bc52b0ff355bed0d8","init_at":"2026-09-24T12:00:00+00:00","mean":66.7,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.5716,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-24T22:23:12+00:00","sd":6.65},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-25T04:22:04+00:00","digest":"42511df41ab2da9d0d7360998b406e58639f7509573104388071c3cc7468ee90","init_at":"2026-09-25T00:00:00+00:00","mean":71.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.843,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-25T04:22:04+00:00","sd":5.86},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-25T04:53:26+00:00","digest":"6a4c915c30ca68f94cae915d75aa568896ff5407f6fb115fc2653bfb80933f8e","init_at":"2026-09-24T18:00:00+00:00","mean":67.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6622,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-25T04:53:26+00:00","sd":4.54}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260930:D5:aifs-wn2","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260930:D5:eps-hres","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260930","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T12:09:56+00:00","fingerprint":"9ece4ab157644f15774c18549b7b682425ccf3555d0854767434614221d5b28d","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"126ca3a2d24ad23aa9155da3e3534eacd2a75b3b3d120629713516911f8a10b3","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":65,"seen_at":"2026-10-01T12:09:56+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20260930","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T12:09:56+00:00","fingerprint":"9ece4ab157644f15774c18549b7b682425ccf3555d0854767434614221d5b28d","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"126ca3a2d24ad23aa9155da3e3534eacd2a75b3b3d120629713516911f8a10b3","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":65,"seen_at":"2026-10-01T12:09:56+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20260930","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T12:09:56+00:00","fingerprint":"9ece4ab157644f15774c18549b7b682425ccf3555d0854767434614221d5b28d","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"126ca3a2d24ad23aa9155da3e3534eacd2a75b3b3d120629713516911f8a10b3","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":65,"seen_at":"2026-10-01T12:09:56+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":22093160,"eps":30556500,"hres":33333333,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-25T08:00:22+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-04T08:42:10+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260930:D5","gap_bp":1220,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260930:D5:aifs-wn2","no":"aifs","no_collateral":19940000,"no_digest":"92508bb5efb752ad64bf1e87c34fd467db5b91a2d4721e6c0a0519b57b98abb0","quantity":50,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":30060000,"yes_digest":"6a4c915c30ca68f94cae915d75aa568896ff5407f6fb115fc2653bfb80933f8e","yes_price":601200,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-25T08:00:22+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-04T08:42:10+00:00","yes_pnl":-30060000,"no_pnl":30060000},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260930:D5","gap_bp":560,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20260930:D5:eps-hres","no":"eps","no_collateral":11410000,"no_digest":"e57d90a4113d2be51a22f069773406688f9805e96e63eafa5c58e65ce527ea12","quantity":25,"yes":"hres","yes_collateral":13590000,"yes_digest":"f9f50a65570578cfda47a61b90ee12adf7f3cec8e913611bc52b0ff355bed0d8","yes_price":543600,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-25T08:00:22+00:00","result":0,"finalized_at":"2026-10-04T08:42:10+00:00","yes_pnl":-13590000,"no_pnl":13590000}]}