{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261001:D5","lead":5,"line":66,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-26T08:00:00+00:00","name":"Seattle, WA","normal_hash":"a90e8e30f9a0bd599ddb5ee7aaaf40fc2315df7ccf71db75adc5891ccb1a11b3","opponents":[["aifs","icon"],["eps","wn2"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KSEA-20261001-TMAX-GE66","region":"westus","station":"KSEA","target_date":"20261001","tz":"America/Los_Angeles","void_at":"2026-10-09T08:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-02T08:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-10-01T08:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-26T07:24:55+00:00","digest":"96a78503dd5702e0e565943a8631610ae3e5f2637b1bde625460bbde435cec22","init_at":"2026-09-26T00:00:00+00:00","mean":70.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.8394,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-26T07:24:55+00:00","sd":4.94},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-25T15:17:57+00:00","digest":"73be9950f729555613fc08eaa01d3e5bf6348f34eb3d6b5879879c3d97e51424","init_at":"2026-09-25T00:00:00+00:00","mean":66.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.5385,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-25T15:17:57+00:00","sd":6.21},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-26T07:24:55+00:00","digest":"034f1428c8622bb56ab68d719d81331fe041a8715d514df0cb77acc5e4d0209d","init_at":"2026-09-26T00:00:00+00:00","mean":64.6,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.4387,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-26T07:24:55+00:00","sd":5.83},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-26T04:33:16+00:00","digest":"d821e425b07dc8b4250cbe3ff02328d9c9e207315f2cd323580d998246c4ae1f","init_at":"2026-09-26T00:00:00+00:00","mean":66.5,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.568,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-26T04:33:16+00:00","sd":5.84},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-26T05:04:34+00:00","digest":"d9f12ff58a24558083d5a2a25402836dfcfeed11c9764471c8e333e0be501ae9","init_at":"2026-09-25T18:00:00+00:00","mean":68.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.7091,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-26T05:04:33+00:00","sd":4.54}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","icon"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261001:D5:aifs-icon","status":"matched"},{"models":["eps","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261001:D5:eps-wn2","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261001","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T12:21:36+00:00","fingerprint":"1d8d2c7c2e7bb4d16a138f824d61a2a8f64db4154d9aede78c06044febfca6fa","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"3778649a83a2a344e557a90fd61a2189aa04b2e97aecce15ec3529cd0727127b","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":68,"seen_at":"2026-10-02T12:21:36+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20261001","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T12:21:36+00:00","fingerprint":"1d8d2c7c2e7bb4d16a138f824d61a2a8f64db4154d9aede78c06044febfca6fa","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"3778649a83a2a344e557a90fd61a2189aa04b2e97aecce15ec3529cd0727127b","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":68,"seen_at":"2026-10-02T12:21:36+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261001","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T12:21:36+00:00","fingerprint":"1d8d2c7c2e7bb4d16a138f824d61a2a8f64db4154d9aede78c06044febfca6fa","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"3778649a83a2a344e557a90fd61a2189aa04b2e97aecce15ec3529cd0727127b","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":68,"seen_at":"2026-10-02T12:21:36+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":22679860,"eps":22472020,"icon":33333333,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-09-26T08:01:18+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-05T09:00:42+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261001:D5","gap_bp":2714,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261001:D5:aifs-icon","no":"icon","no_collateral":9481600,"no_digest":"d821e425b07dc8b4250cbe3ff02328d9c9e207315f2cd323580d998246c4ae1f","quantity":32,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":22518400,"yes_digest":"96a78503dd5702e0e565943a8631610ae3e5f2637b1bde625460bbde435cec22","yes_price":703700,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-26T08:01:18+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-05T09:00:42+00:00","yes_pnl":9481600,"no_pnl":-9481600},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261001:D5","gap_bp":1706,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261001:D5:eps-wn2","no":"eps","no_collateral":18810000,"no_digest":"73be9950f729555613fc08eaa01d3e5bf6348f34eb3d6b5879879c3d97e51424","quantity":50,"yes":"wn2","yes_collateral":31190000,"yes_digest":"d9f12ff58a24558083d5a2a25402836dfcfeed11c9764471c8e333e0be501ae9","yes_price":623800,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-26T08:01:18+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-05T09:00:42+00:00","yes_pnl":18810000,"no_pnl":-18810000}]}