{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261002:D3","lead":3,"line":65,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-09-29T08:00:00+00:00","name":"Seattle, WA","normal_hash":"77243bb53b8eeebe237be4cc2159b0cc11eeb74c6114028c8ac95d9e3f2e458b","opponents":[["aifs","wn2"],["hres","eps"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KSEA-20261002-TMAX-GE65","region":"westus","station":"KSEA","target_date":"20261002","tz":"America/Los_Angeles","void_at":"2026-10-10T08:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-03T08:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-10-02T08:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T07:26:56+00:00","digest":"01011de8e4410ff3482d88ab7f5df0781a963a77ab41fc215b6d72001e3c8b43","init_at":"2026-09-29T00:00:00+00:00","mean":68.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.838,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-09-29T07:26:56+00:00","sd":4.36},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-28T15:13:28+00:00","digest":"28d142beab29838b9b530dbffffd5d7fe16334cd82ecdd44f5519dfab3607dfa","init_at":"2026-09-28T00:00:00+00:00","mean":67.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.6743,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-09-28T15:13:28+00:00","sd":6.42},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T07:26:56+00:00","digest":"3299f457a5c186e816b670100b8e082fcaf9b6fa356d1df018e70e1efb05077a","init_at":"2026-09-29T00:00:00+00:00","mean":69.2,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.8519,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-09-29T07:26:56+00:00","sd":4.5},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T04:33:28+00:00","digest":"a3db6414440c93bb3003468214daec7a1cc1577266228115e82e4e7f3f999f73","init_at":"2026-09-29T00:00:00+00:00","mean":70.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9469,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-09-29T04:33:28+00:00","sd":3.9},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-09-29T05:05:30+00:00","digest":"e3485a93e8f65eb4fb13731cc2e77d15ae25a990282742262dfddee4b5e3f882","init_at":"2026-09-28T18:00:00+00:00","mean":67.4,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.7686,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-09-29T05:05:30+00:00","sd":3.95}},"fixtures":[{"models":["aifs","wn2"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261002:D3:aifs-wn2","status":"matched"},{"models":["hres","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261002:D3:eps-hres","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261002","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T12:35:03+00:00","fingerprint":"336c7b2207ef2a91ec2d04ad63292b81c8cbe4a58d8fa77c9943ab46d0c47328","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"42ad3972e6e58ed1ec527b596cf9a50c2fe78923e1e8f252c147088a2be0f627","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":71,"seen_at":"2026-10-03T12:35:03+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20261002","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T12:35:03+00:00","fingerprint":"336c7b2207ef2a91ec2d04ad63292b81c8cbe4a58d8fa77c9943ab46d0c47328","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"42ad3972e6e58ed1ec527b596cf9a50c2fe78923e1e8f252c147088a2be0f627","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":71,"seen_at":"2026-10-03T12:35:03+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261002","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T12:35:03+00:00","fingerprint":"336c7b2207ef2a91ec2d04ad63292b81c8cbe4a58d8fa77c9943ab46d0c47328","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"42ad3972e6e58ed1ec527b596cf9a50c2fe78923e1e8f252c147088a2be0f627","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":71,"seen_at":"2026-10-03T12:35:03+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":33333333,"eps":33333333,"hres":33333333,"wn2":18711730},"locked_at":"2026-09-29T08:03:21+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-06T08:06:30+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261002:D3","gap_bp":694,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261002:D3:aifs-wn2","no":"wn2","no_collateral":4917500,"no_digest":"e3485a93e8f65eb4fb13731cc2e77d15ae25a990282742262dfddee4b5e3f882","quantity":25,"yes":"aifs","yes_collateral":20082500,"yes_digest":"01011de8e4410ff3482d88ab7f5df0781a963a77ab41fc215b6d72001e3c8b43","yes_price":803300,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-29T08:03:21+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-06T08:06:30+00:00","yes_pnl":4917500,"no_pnl":-4917500},{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261002:D3","gap_bp":1776,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261002:D3:eps-hres","no":"eps","no_collateral":10186700,"no_digest":"28d142beab29838b9b530dbffffd5d7fe16334cd82ecdd44f5519dfab3607dfa","quantity":43,"yes":"hres","yes_collateral":32813300,"yes_digest":"3299f457a5c186e816b670100b8e082fcaf9b6fa356d1df018e70e1efb05077a","yes_price":763100,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-09-29T08:03:21+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-06T08:06:30+00:00","yes_pnl":10186700,"no_pnl":-10186700}]}