{"schema":1,"journal_sequence":1989,"journal_hash":"24f5e6442c9a9823160931c40991aa100ae9facd1d7f2807b5b0018b24b9024e","season":{"id":"shadow-20260908-v1","policy":{"bankroll":10000000000,"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","final_delay_hours":72,"leads":[1,3,5],"lock_grace_minutes":60,"max_init_age_hours":36,"min_gap_bp":400,"mode":"shadow","models":["aifs","eps","wn2","hres","icon"],"portfolio_cap":2000000000,"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"region_day_cap":500000000,"season_days":28,"source":"RCC-ACIS exact ICAO station · daily maxt · midnight local standard time","source_max_age_hours":12,"stable_hours":24,"station_day_cap":100000000,"stations":["KBOS","KLGA","KATL","KMIA","KORD","KMSP","KDFW","KIAH","KDEN","KSLC","KLAX","KSEA"],"version":"shadow-v1","void_hours":168},"products":{"aifs":"AIFS Single","eps":"IFS Ensemble","hres":"IFS HRES","icon":"ICON","wn2":"WeatherNext 2"},"opened_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00"},"event":{"comparison":"ge","id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261004:D1","lead":1,"line":64,"line_source":"1991–2020 ACIS daily normal, rounded at publication","lock_at":"2026-10-03T08:00:00+00:00","name":"Seattle, WA","normal_hash":"f648be0e43559fe8771d2bd6277b0b539fe1b9eb78b2fa8643e8ad2512bcf661","opponents":[["aifs","wn2"],["hres","eps"]],"param":"tmax","prop_id":"WP-KSEA-20261004-TMAX-GE64","region":"westus","station":"KSEA","target_date":"20261004","tz":"America/Los_Angeles","void_at":"2026-10-12T08:00:00+00:00","window_end":"2026-10-05T08:00:00+00:00","window_start":"2026-10-04T08:00:00+00:00","status":"settled","published_at":"2026-09-08T15:49:07+00:00","entries":{"aifs":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-03T07:29:52+00:00","digest":"8c960e94bb28850ac35e38c07b686424d19389a17eae64e8e96d2f95f725e3b5","init_at":"2026-10-03T00:00:00+00:00","mean":71.8,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9803,"product":"AIFS Single","received_at":"2026-10-03T07:29:52+00:00","sd":4.03},"eps":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-02T15:09:40+00:00","digest":"d503347743e1fb7b49b6cb3a53582e9727a7aef09d71cd46339d46599ca28d60","init_at":"2026-10-02T00:00:00+00:00","mean":67.3,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.7961,"product":"IFS Ensemble","received_at":"2026-10-02T15:09:39+00:00","sd":4.59},"hres":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-03T07:29:52+00:00","digest":"d3e64b8e7fd4749933f756ebbdae879a0f85b6501e2179736fa4c9fee6442b87","init_at":"2026-10-03T00:00:00+00:00","mean":70.9,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9764,"product":"IFS HRES","received_at":"2026-10-03T07:29:52+00:00","sd":3.73},"icon":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-03T07:29:52+00:00","digest":"326f9acaf6233248bc80d1aa764292657eabf04fb52b29d04b43d614415f1679","init_at":"2026-10-03T00:00:00+00:00","mean":69.0,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9409,"product":"ICON","received_at":"2026-10-03T07:29:52+00:00","sd":3.52},"wn2":{"calibration":"upstream unversioned; wp-gaussian-v1","captured_at":"2026-10-03T05:08:02+00:00","digest":"e5c4bb28afce69da21da09dcc5ee61296c5a960b748e40bb5d235180443c37ac","init_at":"2026-10-02T18:00:00+00:00","mean":73.1,"model_version":"not supplied","probability":0.9991,"product":"WeatherNext 2","received_at":"2026-10-03T05:08:02+00:00","sd":3.08}},"fixtures":[{"gap_bp":188,"models":["aifs","wn2"],"status":"no_edge"},{"models":["hres","eps"],"position_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261004:D1:eps-hres","status":"matched"}],"observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T12:09:31+00:00","fingerprint":"992f4ba522417c73468ea1f9715f9a2774eba71469378e7023c2ec5a0805797a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"efde974034e8c91edf152cfd6a4a67b9ee16f100e69da4529cfc27f0ceeeda93","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":69,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T12:09:31+00:00"},"observation_history":[{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T12:09:31+00:00","fingerprint":"992f4ba522417c73468ea1f9715f9a2774eba71469378e7023c2ec5a0805797a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"efde974034e8c91edf152cfd6a4a67b9ee16f100e69da4529cfc27f0ceeeda93","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":69,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T12:09:31+00:00"}],"final_observation":{"after_final":false,"date":"20261004","element_station":"KSEA","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T12:09:31+00:00","fingerprint":"992f4ba522417c73468ea1f9715f9a2774eba71469378e7023c2ec5a0805797a","flags":"","observation_hour":24,"response_hash":"efde974034e8c91edf152cfd6a4a67b9ee16f100e69da4529cfc27f0ceeeda93","source":"RCC-ACIS StnData","station":"KSEA","station_ids":["24233 1","457473 2","72793 4","KSEA 5","SEA 3","SEA 7","USW00024233 32","USW00024233 6"],"station_name":"SEATTLE TACOMA AIRPORT","value":69,"seen_at":"2026-10-05T12:09:31+00:00"},"budgets":{"aifs":33333333,"eps":33333333,"hres":33333333,"wn2":33333333},"locked_at":"2026-10-03T08:01:03+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T08:50:07+00:00","reason":null},"positions":[{"event_id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261004:D1","gap_bp":1803,"id":"shadow-20260908-v1:KSEA:20261004:D1:eps-hres","no":"eps","no_collateral":4208750,"no_digest":"d503347743e1fb7b49b6cb3a53582e9727a7aef09d71cd46339d46599ca28d60","quantity":37,"yes":"hres","yes_collateral":32791250,"yes_digest":"d3e64b8e7fd4749933f756ebbdae879a0f85b6501e2179736fa4c9fee6442b87","yes_price":886250,"status":"settled","opened_at":"2026-10-03T08:01:03+00:00","result":1,"finalized_at":"2026-10-08T08:50:07+00:00","yes_pnl":4208750,"no_pnl":-4208750}]}