— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
hres
62¢
ndfd
56¢
rrfs
45¢
nbm
44¢
eps
40¢
hrrr
39¢
icon
26¢
aifs
10¢
wn2
8¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F7¢
72–73°F21¢
74–75°F32¢
76–77°F26¢
78–79°F10¢
80–81°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 1, scored on 14,561 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.512 vs climatology 8.841.
Receipts
prop id WP-KABQ-20261021-TMAX-GE77 · opened 2026-10-18T04:14:35+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape