— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
92¢
aifs
80¢
hres
68¢
icon
66¢
ndfd
53¢
wn2
49¢
nbm
46¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
62–63°F1¢
64–65°F4¢
66–67°F11¢
68–69°F20¢
70–71°F24¢
72–73°F21¢
74–75°F12¢
76–77°F5¢
78–79°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,413 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.902 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KABQ-20261023-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-17T04:42:22+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape