— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
eps
78¢
icon
72¢
ndfd
54¢
nbm
44¢
hres
42¢
wn2
24¢
aifs
18¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
58–59°F1¢
60–61°F4¢
62–63°F9¢
64–65°F17¢
66–67°F22¢
68–69°F21¢
70–71°F15¢
72–73°F7¢
74–75°F3¢
76–77°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 4, scored on 14,364 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.162 vs climatology 8.854.
Receipts
prop id WP-KABQ-20261024-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-18T04:14:36+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape