— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
icon
72¢
eps
61¢
ndfd
54¢
nbm
45¢
hres
25¢
wn2
14¢
aifs
11¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
54–55°F1¢
56–57°F3¢
58–59°F7¢
60–61°F13¢
62–63°F19¢
64–65°F21¢
66–67°F17¢
68–69°F11¢
70–71°F5¢
72–73°F2¢
74–75°F1¢
calibration receipt: lead 5, scored on 14,365 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.476 vs climatology 8.841.
Receipts
prop id WP-KABQ-20261025-TMAX-GE66 · opened 2026-10-20T04:05:27+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape