— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
wn2
90¢
aifs
79¢
ndfd
56¢
hres
47¢
icon
46¢
nbm
41¢
eps
39¢
rrfs
31¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
68–69°F1¢
70–71°F7¢
72–73°F20¢
74–75°F31¢
76–77°F26¢
78–79°F12¢
80–81°F3¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,410 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.692 vs climatology 8.861.
Receipts
prop id WP-KATL-20261021-TMAX-GE75 · opened 2026-10-14T10:32:18+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape