daily prop · Atlanta, GA · Southeast · settles Thu Oct 22

Atlanta runs hot-for-here: 80°F+ · Thu Oct 22

9¢

american +1072 · decimal 11.72

on the tape

80°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		43¢
aifs		37¢
hres		29¢
icon		22¢
ndfd		12¢
nbm		2¢
eps		2¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

68–69°F1¢

70–71°F5¢

72–73°F15¢

74–75°F26¢

76–77°F28¢

78–79°F17¢

80–81°F6¢

82–83°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 3, scored on 14,361 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.905 vs climatology 8.86.

Receipts

prop id WP-KATL-20261022-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-15T07:49:09+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape