daily prop · Atlanta, GA · Southeast · settles Mon Oct 26

Atlanta runs hot-for-here: 80°F+ · Mon Oct 26

7¢

american +1360 · decimal 14.6

on the tape

80°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 80°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

wn2		28¢
aifs		23¢
nbm		14¢
hres		12¢
icon		4¢
eps		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

62–63°F1¢

64–65°F2¢

66–67°F6¢

68–69°F12¢

70–71°F17¢

72–73°F20¢

74–75°F18¢

76–77°F13¢

78–79°F7¢

80–81°F3¢

82–83°F1¢

calibration receipt: lead 7, scored on 8,335 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 2.605 vs climatology 8.757.

Receipts

prop id WP-KATL-20261026-TMAX-GE80 · opened 2026-10-19T07:32:44+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape