daily prop · Austin, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Austin high ≥ 78°F · Mon Oct 19

41¢

american +143 · decimal 2.43

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 78°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		77¢
eps		64¢
ndfd		56¢
nbm		56¢
aifs		45¢
hres		40¢
wn2		26¢
hrrr		22¢
icon		18¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KAUS-20261019-TMAX-GE78 · opened 2026-10-15T15:34:31+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape