daily prop · Austin, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Austin high ≥ 82°F · Mon Oct 19

24¢

american +312 · decimal 4.12

on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 82°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

ndfd		54¢
eps		53¢
hres		30¢
nbm		29¢
icon		26¢
aifs		18¢
wn2		3¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

72–73°F0¢

74–75°F7¢

76–77°F33¢

78–79°F42¢

80–81°F16¢

82–83°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KAUS-20261019-TMAX-GE82 · opened 2026-10-15T04:02:27+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape