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daily prop · Austin, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 19

Austin high ≥ 86°F · Mon Oct 19

21¢
american +372 · decimal 4.72
on the tape
The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 86°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0410/1310/19 00:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
icon
64¢
ndfd
53¢
nbm
46¢
hres
45¢
eps
24¢
aifs
3¢
wn2
3¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
72–73°F0¢
74–75°F7¢
76–77°F33¢
78–79°F42¢
80–81°F16¢
82–83°F2¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KAUS-20261019-TMAX-GE86 · opened 2026-10-13T04:16:15+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape