daily prop · Austin, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Tue Oct 20

Austin runs hot-for-here: 89°F+ · Tue Oct 20

2¢

american +6111 · decimal 62.11

on the tape

89°F is the top-decile high for this date at this station (1940–present). Hot means hot *for here*.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 89°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

rrfs		22¢
nbm		9¢
ndfd		7¢
hres		6¢
eps		5¢
aifs		3¢
icon		2¢
wn2		1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits

78–79°F1¢

80–81°F15¢

82–83°F44¢

84–85°F33¢

86–87°F6¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KAUS-20261020-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-10-13T08:04:00+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape