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daily prop · Austin, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Tue Oct 20

A 90° day in Austin · Tue Oct 20

2¢
american +5924 · decimal 60.24
on the tape
Settles YES on an official high of 90°F or hotter.
Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 90°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/0510/1510/20 06:00
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price
nbm
11¢
ndfd
8¢
hres
5¢
aifs
4¢
eps
3¢
icon
2¢
wn2
1¢

The Ladder

where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F1¢
80–81°F15¢
82–83°F44¢
84–85°F33¢
86–87°F6¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KAUS-20261020-TMAX-GE90 · opened 2026-10-13T08:04:02+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape