— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Who's Bullish
each model's own price
nbm
59¢
ndfd
54¢
icon
36¢
hres
26¢
eps
26¢
aifs
11¢
wn2
4¢
The Ladder
where the whole distribution sits
78–79°F1¢
80–81°F5¢
82–83°F19¢
84–85°F34¢
86–87°F28¢
88–89°F11¢
90–91°F2¢
calibration receipt: lead 2, scored on 14,514 settled station-days, consensus CRPS 1.688 vs climatology 8.842.
Receipts
prop id WP-KAUS-20261023-TMAX-GE89 · opened 2026-10-16T13:28:48+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape