week prop · Austin, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Sun Oct 25
Austin touches 90°F sometime this week
57¢
american -135 · decimal 1.74
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.
The Tape
what the models knew, when
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.
Day by Day
the window, priced
Mon Oct 19
0¢
Tue Oct 20
1¢
Wed Oct 21
4¢
Thu Oct 22
13¢
Fri Oct 23
20¢
Sat Oct 24
23¢
Sun Oct 25
16¢
Receipts
prop id WP-KAUS-20261025-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-18T08:01:40+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape