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week prop · Austin, TX · Plains & South Central · settles Mon Oct 26

Austin touches 90°F sometime this week

39¢
american +159 · decimal 2.59
on the tape
Any of the next 7 days settles it YES on the official record. Priced treating days as independent — real days are correlated, which narrows the true tails.

The Tape

what the models knew, when
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢10/1910/1910/20 10:07
— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Day by Day

the window, priced
Tue Oct 20
0¢
Wed Oct 21
3¢
Thu Oct 22
6¢
Fri Oct 23
6¢
Sat Oct 24
12¢
Sun Oct 25
10¢
Mon Oct 26
9¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KAUS-20261026-WK-ANY90 · opened 2026-10-19T07:33:33+00:00 · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape