daily prop · Birmingham, AL · Southeast · settles Sun Oct 18

Birmingham high ≥ 68°F · Sun Oct 18

YES

settled · observed 71

longshot hit whiplash on the tape

The line is the official NWS forecast at open. Settles on the ACIS official NWS daily record.

Canonical settlement condition: High ≥ 68°F. The original listing above is retained as published. Open the model matchup dashboard →

The Tape

what the models knew, when

— — reconstructed from archived model runs (deterministic values + a lead-dependent Gaussian error model, labeled, never on the tape) · — live prices from the running consensus engine.

Verdict

This prop traded as low as 1¢ and still hit; crossed 70¢ in both directions — a genuine whiplash.

Who's Bullish

each model's own price

eps		99¢
nbm		76¢
rrfs		69¢
aifs		66¢
wn2		56¢
ndfd		56¢
hres		53¢
icon		34¢

Receipts

prop id WP-KBHM-20261018-TMAX-GE68 · opened 2026-10-15T04:02:05+00:00 · settled 2026-10-19T13:37:29+00:00 against ACIS official NWS daily record · minted to the append-only hash-chained tape at open; the settle writes next to the mint · inspect the tape